7/15/25 :: VROCKSTAR ::
DECK
Not obvious. But it's a buy.
- will reiterate that i'm not on tape so closely this week, but will revert w any comment replies by next week; nevertheless i'm checking in here on the tape
- see what T did today on NVDA/ China?
- you think it's easier or harder to resolve some of these discretionary names in the meanwhile vs. nvda H20s to China?
- exactly.
- even NKE put up pretty barfy numbers and the stock was like well... who cares
- i think we're reaching that point with
DECK here after seeing
NKE, then reading between the lines on
NVDA->consumer/discretionary tariffs etc. etc.
- rates will come down, the consumer is tapped out, new fed chair on deck etc. etc.
so the way I'm playing this:
i've bought some ITM calls for aug 15 expiry. why? because it allows me to get proper MSD size (3-4%) but pay only 30-40 bps (10x leverage). the thinking is this... if stock pukes on this result, i'm high conviction that 80% scenario i'd want to load TF up. and if it rips/ or if T has a favorable bowel movement in the meantime... this will rip and off the *extreme* (remember - extreme positioning always gets you the best rewards... but TA doesn't tell you where the bottoms are as much as fundamentals IMVVVHO)... then you get a double whammy and stock is back in the $110s+. so the R/R is v good. but i don't want to get crushed if the stock/ macro work against me and need some wiggle room.
eye'ing LULU too.. but i like valuation and R/R on
DECK better esp given the
NKE print and their multiple-brand-multiple-disty strategy vs. say lulu's own-disty strategy.
V
Not obvious. But it's a buy.
- will reiterate that i'm not on tape so closely this week, but will revert w any comment replies by next week; nevertheless i'm checking in here on the tape
- see what T did today on NVDA/ China?
- you think it's easier or harder to resolve some of these discretionary names in the meanwhile vs. nvda H20s to China?
- exactly.
- even NKE put up pretty barfy numbers and the stock was like well... who cares
- i think we're reaching that point with
- rates will come down, the consumer is tapped out, new fed chair on deck etc. etc.
so the way I'm playing this:
i've bought some ITM calls for aug 15 expiry. why? because it allows me to get proper MSD size (3-4%) but pay only 30-40 bps (10x leverage). the thinking is this... if stock pukes on this result, i'm high conviction that 80% scenario i'd want to load TF up. and if it rips/ or if T has a favorable bowel movement in the meantime... this will rip and off the *extreme* (remember - extreme positioning always gets you the best rewards... but TA doesn't tell you where the bottoms are as much as fundamentals IMVVVHO)... then you get a double whammy and stock is back in the $110s+. so the R/R is v good. but i don't want to get crushed if the stock/ macro work against me and need some wiggle room.
eye'ing LULU too.. but i like valuation and R/R on
V
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.