Meta (NASDAQ: META), the parent company of Facebook, will report second-quarter 2025 results on Wednesday, 30 July, after the close of trading in New York. The social media giant is expected to report that earnings growth slowed to 14.2% to $5.89 per share, as revenue growth decelerated to 14.4%, reaching $44.7 billion. CAPEX is expected to more than double from a year ago, increasing to $17.5 billion from $8.1 billion.
For the third quarter, analysts expect the company to guide revenue to $46.0 billion. CAPEX for full year 2025 is forecast at $64.7 billion. The options market is pricing in a post-earnings move of about 6.5%.
The stock has formed a potential 2B top reversal pattern when it briefly rose on 30 June, closed above the high seen on 14 February, but was unable to maintain it. Now, the stock has fallen below an uptrend that began on 1 May, as well as below technical support at around $705. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index has rolled over, suggesting momentum has shifted from bullish to bearish. There is considerable technical support for Meta between $680 and $700 per share, and a move below that support region could lead to the shares falling below $600 over time.
From an option gamma perspective, $700 appears to be the put wall, which also suggests there is solid support around this level. However, the overall call delta values are high, indicating that the options market is very bullish. Therefore, after the company reports, it is possible there could be significant call value decay, leading to the unwinding of hedges and potentially pushing shares below the $700 support region. However, if the stock can hold support at $700, it stands a chance to move higher towards the call wall at $750 and potentially as high as $800.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
For the third quarter, analysts expect the company to guide revenue to $46.0 billion. CAPEX for full year 2025 is forecast at $64.7 billion. The options market is pricing in a post-earnings move of about 6.5%.
The stock has formed a potential 2B top reversal pattern when it briefly rose on 30 June, closed above the high seen on 14 February, but was unable to maintain it. Now, the stock has fallen below an uptrend that began on 1 May, as well as below technical support at around $705. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index has rolled over, suggesting momentum has shifted from bullish to bearish. There is considerable technical support for Meta between $680 and $700 per share, and a move below that support region could lead to the shares falling below $600 over time.
From an option gamma perspective, $700 appears to be the put wall, which also suggests there is solid support around this level. However, the overall call delta values are high, indicating that the options market is very bullish. Therefore, after the company reports, it is possible there could be significant call value decay, leading to the unwinding of hedges and potentially pushing shares below the $700 support region. However, if the stock can hold support at $700, it stands a chance to move higher towards the call wall at $750 and potentially as high as $800.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.