META Bearish Swing Alert – Bear in Hiding? Watch for Breakdown B

🔻 Bearish Swing Alert – Bear in Hiding? Watch for Breakdown Below $690 🐻

📅 Posted: July 18, 2025
💡 All models say “bearish,” but volume is the wildcard. Tight play, big potential.

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🧠 AI Consensus Summary: Bearish But Not Triggered

Model Bias Key Notes
Grok 🐻 Bearish RSI 40.5, weak volume, neutral options flow. No clear flow bias.
Claude 🐻 Bearish Same indicators. Recommends conditional entry.
Gemini ⚠️ Bearish Wait Bearish bias but no trigger yet due to low volume.
Llama 🐻 Cautious Bear Trade only if breakdown below $678 with volume.
DeepSeek 🐻 Bearish No bull signals. Neutral options flow confirms low conviction.

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⚙️ Setup Details – META Naked Put

🎯 Strike: $695.00
📅 Expiry: August 1, 2025
💰 Entry Price (Premium): $22.70
💵 Profit Target: $30.00
🛑 Stop Loss: $14.00 (~40% of premium)
📏 Contract Size: 1
📈 Confidence Level: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: Market open — only if price breaks below $690 with volume confirmation
🕒 Signal Timestamp: 2025-07-18 @ 10:54 AM EDT

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🔍 Why This Works
• ✅ Technical Trend: RSI < 45, negative 5-day/10-day momentum
• 🧊 Options Flow: Flat — no bullish bias = clean downside setup
• 🧨 Trigger Level: Breakdown below $690 = institutional exit confirmed
• ⚠️ Key Caveat: Weak volume = don’t front-run the breakdown

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📌 Levels to Watch
• ⚠️ Breakdown Confirm: Below $690 with volume > 1.25x
• 🧱 Target Zone: $678 support
• ❌ Invalid If: Bounces back over $705 on volume

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🚨 Risk Warning

This isn’t the “all-in” moment — it’s a sniper trade.
No volume = no entry. Tight stop. Fast hands. Smart size.

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📊 TRADE SNAPSHOT

{
"instrument": "META",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 695.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-01",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 30.00,
"stop_loss": 14.00,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 22.70,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-07-18 10:53:53 UTC-04:00"
}

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💬 Is META breaking down — or faking out?
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