Gold Outlook – 14 July | Early Week Pullback Ahead of Key Economic Releases
🌍 Market Sentiment & Macro Overview
Gold has started the week with a sharp retracement after filling prior liquidity gaps (FVG) from the past two weeks.
This early weakness signals a risk-off tone as traders adopt a cautious stance ahead of a heavy macroeconomic calendar and geopolitical trade discussions.
This week’s high-impact events include:
📌 US CPI (Inflation Data)
📌 US PPI (Producer Prices)
📌 Unemployment Claims
📌 Retail Sales Figures
These data points will likely set the tone for price action through the second half of the week, with potential for sharp moves in gold.
📉 Technical Snapshot – M30 Chart Structure
Price swept minor liquidity above recent highs
Pulled back by more than $15 from the short-term top
Currently trading below the intraday VPOC (~3358), suggesting short-term bearish momentum
If the selling pressure holds, we may see a move toward:
⚠️ 333x zone — initial liquidity pool
❗ 332x zone — deeper liquidity grab before any bullish reversal
🧭 Trading Plan – Key Zones and Setup
📥 Buy Setup: 3331 – 3329 (Zone of Interest)
Stop Loss: 3325
Target Levels:
TP1: 3335
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3344
TP4: 3350
TP5: 3360 – 3370
✅ A highly reactive zone — ideal for intraday long setups if price sweeps into this area and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., volume spike or rejection wick).
📤 Sell Setup: 3393 – 3395 (Resistance Re-Test)
Stop Loss: 3399
Target Levels:
TP1: 3390
TP2: 3386
TP3: 3382
TP4: 3378
TP5: 3374 – 3370 – 3360
📉 Potential scalp zone if price retests resistance with signs of exhaustion. Monitor closely for bearish structure confirmation.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
3358
3368
3374
3394
Support Zones:
3349
3340
3331
3318
These zones remain relevant for both momentum trades and reversion setups.
⚠️ Strategy Considerations
At the time of writing, gold is trading indecisively around the M30 VPOC. No clear breakout has occurred yet.
⏳ Wait for volume confirmation during the London session
🚫 Avoid impulsive entries based on emotions or FOMO
✅ Stick to your risk parameters and let price come to your level
🧠 Summary & Bias
Gold is experiencing an early-week technical correction after recent strength.
The market is in "wait-and-see" mode, with macro drivers likely to dictate direction from mid-week onwards.
📍 Watch the 3331–3329 zone closely — it remains the most attractive level for long setups.
📍 The 3393–3395 zone is a key area to fade strength if price struggles at resistance.
Patience and precision are key this week. Let the market reveal its intention, and trade accordingly.
🌍 Market Sentiment & Macro Overview
Gold has started the week with a sharp retracement after filling prior liquidity gaps (FVG) from the past two weeks.
This early weakness signals a risk-off tone as traders adopt a cautious stance ahead of a heavy macroeconomic calendar and geopolitical trade discussions.
This week’s high-impact events include:
📌 US CPI (Inflation Data)
📌 US PPI (Producer Prices)
📌 Unemployment Claims
📌 Retail Sales Figures
These data points will likely set the tone for price action through the second half of the week, with potential for sharp moves in gold.
📉 Technical Snapshot – M30 Chart Structure
Price swept minor liquidity above recent highs
Pulled back by more than $15 from the short-term top
Currently trading below the intraday VPOC (~3358), suggesting short-term bearish momentum
If the selling pressure holds, we may see a move toward:
⚠️ 333x zone — initial liquidity pool
❗ 332x zone — deeper liquidity grab before any bullish reversal
🧭 Trading Plan – Key Zones and Setup
📥 Buy Setup: 3331 – 3329 (Zone of Interest)
Stop Loss: 3325
Target Levels:
TP1: 3335
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3344
TP4: 3350
TP5: 3360 – 3370
✅ A highly reactive zone — ideal for intraday long setups if price sweeps into this area and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., volume spike or rejection wick).
📤 Sell Setup: 3393 – 3395 (Resistance Re-Test)
Stop Loss: 3399
Target Levels:
TP1: 3390
TP2: 3386
TP3: 3382
TP4: 3378
TP5: 3374 – 3370 – 3360
📉 Potential scalp zone if price retests resistance with signs of exhaustion. Monitor closely for bearish structure confirmation.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
3358
3368
3374
3394
Support Zones:
3349
3340
3331
3318
These zones remain relevant for both momentum trades and reversion setups.
⚠️ Strategy Considerations
At the time of writing, gold is trading indecisively around the M30 VPOC. No clear breakout has occurred yet.
⏳ Wait for volume confirmation during the London session
🚫 Avoid impulsive entries based on emotions or FOMO
✅ Stick to your risk parameters and let price come to your level
🧠 Summary & Bias
Gold is experiencing an early-week technical correction after recent strength.
The market is in "wait-and-see" mode, with macro drivers likely to dictate direction from mid-week onwards.
📍 Watch the 3331–3329 zone closely — it remains the most attractive level for long setups.
📍 The 3393–3395 zone is a key area to fade strength if price struggles at resistance.
Patience and precision are key this week. Let the market reveal its intention, and trade accordingly.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.