Gold – H4 Structure at Key Decision Point | July 14 Outlook🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) – July 14 Outlook | Key Reaction Ahead at 3366
Gold closed Friday at 3355.665 , after facing resistance from the H4 swing high (3366) .
While price failed to break that level during the session, the last H4 candle closed as a bullish spinning top , signaling indecision — but with slight bullish pressure.
As we head into Monday’s open, the next move could be pivotal in determining the direction of the upcoming H4 trend leg.
🔮 Key Scenarios to Watch
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (Preferred Bias):
If the market opens above 3366 , creating a clean Break of Structure (BoS) , it would confirm the continuation of the H4 uptrend.
→ In this case, we will watch for a retest of the 3320 Order Block (OB) — a potential long setup zone.
→ If price gives another BoS after the first, it may also present a continuation entry opportunity, depending on structure.
2️⃣ Rejection / Bearish Case:
If the market fails to break 3366 , we’ll step back and observe how M15 reacts.
→ Consolidation could follow before any significant BoS.
→ In this scenario, patience is key — we’ll wait for either confirmation of a deeper pullback or a structure shift on lower timeframes.
3️⃣ Consolidation Possibility:
There’s also a strong possibility that price consolidates between the H4 swing high (3366) and the 3320 OB before making a structural decision.
→ A tight range can trap both buyers and sellers — so it’s crucial not to act prematurely.
🧭 Trade Bias Summary
✅ If BoS (above 3366):
→ Bullish bias confirmed
→ Look for long on OB retest (e.g., 3320 zone) or next M15 structure break
⚠️ If No BoS:
→ Step back, observe M15
→ Wait for structure clarity before forming bias
🔁 If Range Forms (3366–3320):
→ Stay out until market resolves direction
→ Let breakout + retest guide the next setup
🧠 Final Thoughts
This analysis is shared for educational and structural observation purposes only — not as trade advice or recommendation.
The goal is to track price behavior around key zones and adapt based on how structure confirms or invalidates bias.
📖 Let the market reveal its intention — not with emotion, but through structure.
We don’t predict the breakout — we prepare for both outcomes.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
