AUD/JPY Long Setup – Anticipating Continuation to Daily ResistanTimeframe: 1H
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: ~96.75
SL: Below PDH/POC region
TP1 (1R): 97.36
TP2 (2R): 97.93
Final Target: Daily resistance zone ~98.86
Idea Breakdown:
Price has been forming higher highs and higher lows, respecting both 50EMA and AVWAP on the hourly. After a solid breakout above recent structure and BOS confirmation, I’m looking to buy into a retracement toward the 0.382 fib level and low-volume node (96.70–96.75 region).
This zone also aligns with:
Previous breakout structure
PDH/PWH region
Value area low
EMA support
If price pulls back into this zone and holds, I expect bullish continuation targeting the next major resistance zones above.
Risk: Entry just above PDH with a stop below PDL and key structure
Reward: Clear path to 2R and higher with limited resistance overhead after breakout
Please note i am a amateur logging my own trades for reference and should not be copied
AUDJPY trade ideas
AUDJPY Technical Breakout - Targeting 97.400 Next?TRADENATION:AUDJPY has recently broken decisively above a key resistance zone that had previously capped price for several months. This breakout was preceded by a period of compression and range-bound price action, where bullish momentum steadily built up, indicated by higher lows pressing against the resistance level. This type of structure typically leads to an explosive breakout, which we are now seeing unfold.
After the breakout, price came back for a clean retest of the broken resistance zone, which has now flipped into support. The retest held firmly, suggesting strong buyer interest at this level and confirming the validity of the breakout.
With this structure in place, the bullish momentum is likely to extend further toward the next target zone around 97.400, provided price remains above the current support.
As long as the price holds above the retested zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. A breakdown back below this area, however, would be a warning sign and could open the door to a deeper pullback.
Remember, always wait for confirmation before entering trades, and maintain disciplined risk management.
AUD/JPY Finally Decided To Go Down , Don`t Miss This 150 Pips !Here is my 1H Chart on AUD/JPY , And my opinion is we have a very clear breakout and the price will go down a little to make a retracement after this huge movement to upside without any correction , so i`, waiting the price to retest my broken supp and new Res and then we can enter a sell trade and targeting 100 : 150 pips . if the price go up again and closed above my res area with daily candle then this idea will not be valid anymore.
AUDJPY - POTENTIAL?USDJPY is getting super interesting.
If we can get some bearish intent to try and induce the early sellers to the downside creating some buyside liquidity then i will be all over this for a trade.
Lets see how price has moved by the morning as it does need a bit more development before we can consider entering for a short position
AUDJPY – Waiting for the Long SetupThe price is currently in a corrective move,
and as always, we’ve already marked our key level.
📍 We’re patiently waiting for price to reach our support zone.
If a valid buy signal appears, we’ll take the long position
according to our trading plan.
❌ What if the level breaks?
No worries.
We don’t predict — we follow the market.
We’ll wait for a clean pullback and enter short if confirmed.
🎯 Our job isn’t to predict where price will go,
our job is to manage risk and stay aligned with the market.
Price can do anything —
we’re ready for every scenario.
AUDJPY LONG & SHORT – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W29 | Y25💼 AUDJPY LONG & SHORT – WEEKLY FORECAST
Q3 | W29 | Y25
📊 MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT
AUD JPY is currently reaching for a key higher time frame supply zone, looking for price action to show weakness at premium levels. Structure and momentum are now aligning for a short opportunity backed by multi-timeframe confluence.
🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝
✅ Daily Order Block (OB)
Looking for Strong reaction and early signs of distribution.
✅ 4H Order Block
Break of internal structure (iBoS) confirms a short-term bearish transition.
✅ 1H Order Block
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT
📌 The structure is clear.
The confluences are stacked.
Let execution follow discipline, not emotion.
AUDJPY H4 MARKET OUTLOOK. Looking at how price reacted this week, we’re anticipating a new buy opportunity in this market from the H4 timeframe but before then, we’re waiting for proper confirmation before we buy. We’re waiting for price to test the major support level of 95.222 so we can spot a good deal.
"AUD/JPY: Bulls About to Raid Tokyo? (Long Plan)"🎯 AUD/JPY BULLISH BANK HEIST! (Long Setup Inside) - Thief Trading Strategy
🚨 Yen Carry Trade Alert: Aussie Loot Up For Grabs! 💰
🦹♂️ ATTENTION ALL MARKET PIRATES!
To the Profit Raiders & Risk-Takers! 🌏💣
Using our 🔥Thief Trading Tactics🔥 (a deadly combo of carry trade flows + risk sentiment + institutional traps), we're executing a bullish raid on AUD/JPY—this is not advice, just a strategic heist plan for traders who play by their own rules.
📈 THE LOOTING BLUEPRINT (LONG ENTRY PLAN)
🎯 Treasure Zone: 92.700 (or escape earlier if bears attack)
💎 High-Reward Play: Neutral turning bullish - trap for yen bulls
👮♂️ Cop Trap: Where bears get squeezed at support
🔑 ENTRY RULES:
"Vault Unlocked!" – Grab bullish loot on pullbacks (15-30min TF)
Buy Limit Orders near swing lows OR Market Orders with tight stops
Aggressive? Enter at market but watch JPY news
🚨 STOP LOSS (Escape Plan):
Thief SL at nearest swing low (4H chart)
⚠️ Warning: "Skip this SL? Enjoy donating to yen bulls."
🎯 TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 92.700
Scalpers: Ride the Asian session momentum
🔍 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Before raiding, check:
✅ BOJ Policy (Yen weakness continuing?)
✅ Commodity Prices (Iron ore/coal supporting AUD?)
✅ Risk Sentiment (Stocks rally = carry trade fuel)
✅ Interest Spreads (AUD-JPY yield advantage)
🚨 RISK WARNING
Avoid BOJ/RBA speeches (unless you like volatility torture)
Trailing stops = your golden parachute
💎 BOOST THIS HEIST!
👍 Smash Like to fund our next raid!
🔁 Share to recruit more trading pirates!
🤑 See you at the target, rebels!
⚖️ DISCLAIMER: Hypothetical scenario. Trade at your own risk.
#AUDJPY #CarryTrade #TradingView #RiskOn #ThiefTrading
💬 COMMENT: "Long already—or waiting for better entry?" 👇🔥
P.S. Next heist target already being scouted... stay tuned! 🏴☠️
Inverse head and shoulder pattern in AUDJPY - Daily Timeframe!Price just formed an inverse head and shoulder pattern in daily timeframe. Technically, this validates a chance of seeing more bullish price action development. Next resistance will be at 97.333 The higher timeframe (monthly) remains bullish so we’re expecting more of the bullish trend to continue.
AUDJPY 1D: breakout toward 100–105AUDJPY has confirmed an inverse head and shoulders breakout on the daily chart, with a strong move above the neckline. All key moving averages, including MA50 and MA200, remain below the current price — confirming bullish momentum. Volume increased on the breakout, and price has held above the 95.6 neckline zone. As long as that level holds, the setup remains valid. Targets are set at 100.36 (1.618 Fibo) and 105.19 (2.0 Fibo).
AUDJPY Bullish Channel Still Intact, Eyeing Breakout Above 95.00AUDJPY continues to respect its ascending channel, with the current bounce occurring right at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and lower trendline support. The structure supports further upside as long as price holds above the 94.00–93.80 zone, with targets set toward 94.77 and 95.36, potentially extending to 95.63 highs.
🧠 Fundamentals:
AUD Strength Drivers:
RBA remains relatively hawkish vs other G10 banks.
Australia's data this week (retail sales, NAB confidence) were mixed, but no rate cut pricing in the near term supports AUD.
Iron ore demand showing resilience despite Chinese slowdown concerns.
JPY Weakness Drivers:
BoJ remains ultra-dovish. No action expected in July.
Japan’s inflation remains tame; the yield gap with other majors keeps widening.
Risk-on sentiment reduces demand for safe-havens like JPY.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Strong upward channel since early June remains valid.
Current pullback held the 61.8% Fib retracement of the June-July leg.
Bullish engulfing near support confirms entry.
Immediate resistance at 94.77 → 95.36 → potential breakout to 95.63.
Invalid if price closes below 93.80 (channel break).
⚠️ Risk Factors:
Risk-off shift (e.g., geopolitical escalation or U.S. CPI surprise) may boost JPY.
China growth fears can weigh on AUD.
A sudden dovish shift from the RBA would invalidate bullish fundamentals.
🔁 Leader/Lagger Dynamics:
AUDJPY typically leads other yen crosses (e.g., NZDJPY, CADJPY) during risk-on moves. It’s also a barometer for broader risk sentiment, often following moves in equity indices like US500 or commodity-linked assets.
✅ Trade Bias: Bullish
TP1: 94.77
TP2: 95.36
TP3 (aggressive): 95.63
SL: Below 93.80
Event to Watch: China data this week + U.S. CPI (Jul 11)
📌 Watch for a strong bullish daily candle above 94.77 for continuation confirmation. Stay nimble around key global risk events.
AUDJPY Ready To "Drop A Shoulder"? Multi-Timeframe May Help!OANDA:AUDJPY is beginning to form a very convincingly strong Reversal Pattern, the Head & Shoulders!
Starting with the Daily Chart we can see that Price is Forming a Doji Candle just after trying to Breakout of a Major Resistance Zone created from the Highs of March 18th and if Price is unable to close above this level, this strengthens the Bearish and Reversal Bias.
Now the 4 Hr Chart shows both the "First Shoulder" or Previous Higher High that was surpassed by the "Head" which is the New Higher High, has formed quite quickly with a slightly Ascending "Neckline" or Support Line where Bulls were able to make their Last Stand.
With a Reversal Pattern, you want to see a Change in Trend, in this case, would be a Lower High then that of the Higher High or "Head" @ 96.204.
*If Bulls are able to Push Price above the "Left Shoulder" or Previous Higher High @ 95.952, this will Invalidate the Head & Shoulders Set-up!
**If Bulls are unable to Break Above 95.952 and Price is pushed back down to the Confirmation or "Neckline" for a 3rd time, this Confirms the Head & Shoulders Set-up!!
Based on the Distance between the Head and Neckline, we can project a potential drop down to the next Support Level as a Price Target @ 95.00 once:
1) Pattern is Confirmed
2) Breakout is Validated
AUDJPY continues vigorously to five-month highsThe yen has declined in most of its widely traded pairs in recent days as trade tension between the USA and Japan escalated again. JPY’s appeal as a haven appears to be lower compared to the situation early last quarter. Meanwhile the RBA unexpectedly held its cash rate on 8 July. Although the BoJ is fairly likely to hike to 0.75% at the end of July, it seems unlikely the differential in rates for AUDJPY will go below 2% for the foreseeable future.
Much like AUDUSD, volume and ATR have declined significantly here and the stochastic signals overbought, but the shape of the chart is quite different and the latest high was accompanied by a significant uptick in momentum. The 50% weekly Fibonacci retracement around ¥97.70 is an obvious possible resistance.
A sustained move lower seems less favourable based on the current situation of both fundamentals and the chart. The 38.2% Fibo slightly below ¥95 might now flip to being an area of support. However, there’s a significant amount of important data for AUDJPY coming out in the next few days: Australian consumer confidence on 15 July, then Japanese balance of trade and inflation on 17 and 18 July respectively. Surprising results might significantly change the technical picture.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
AUD-JPY Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the pair
Made a bullish breakout of
The key horizontal level
Of 95.650 which is now a
Support and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Live trade: AUD JPY long Entry 95.71
Nothing has happened to alter my 'risk in bias'. A, I've been waiting for a 'nice but of support' to place a stop loss behind. And I'm comfortable with the 1hr swings that have formed.
It's a 20 pip stop loss with 30 pip profit target.
The risk to the trade is a fresh bout of negative sentiment