The Fed has left us air on this year's rate cuts, and a weak majority of the Open Markets Committee is leaning toward a single cut, when in March there was a consensus for two. Powell has warned of the high level of uncertainty in the market to get carried away with the dot plot, a collection of economic, inflation, employment and interest rate forecasts obtained...
- The market has been trading inside a bullish channel since mid-April ; the mid-term trend is then bullish.
- Since the beginning of June, and another impact over the lower bound of the mid-term bullish channel, bulls have taken control of the market and ended a 7-days long correction.
The market has registered a sharp rebound over that zone, driven by hopes of...
With a crimson-red start to the week for European indices and the euro, today's data releases on the “fish & chips” island, the UK is faced with April data on economic growth, exports, trade balance and industrial production. Expectations, despite being negative, have been far from accurate with none of them performing as poorly as they have. The British economic...
- The market has been trading above a bullish trendline since mid-Arpil ; the mid-term trend was then bullish.
- During the last few trading sessions, the pair has been put under significant pressure as prices registered a sharp pull-back from 1.0916 to 1.0720 currently.
This sell-off led the market to a bearish break-out of its mid-term bullish trendline,...
Indices outside Europe traded higher yesterday and the right-wing-weighted European elections pushed Macron in France to call for early national elections. Meanwhile, the euro fell to a record low and European equities suffered from the result. In contrast, the rest of the international indices started their sessions in positive territory, although not all of them...
The euro falls sharply and European risk premia revive the region. The results seem to have woken up in the markets and have been extended especially in southern and peripheral countries and in particular also highlights France with the fall of its bonds, following the decision of President Macron to call early parliamentary elections, after his defeat in a vote...
As is well known among traders, the monthly Non-Farm Payrolls (NPP) report is usually the most relevant release of the day and usually provides many clues as to the Fed's direction for interest rate adjustments, in this case possible cuts. NVidia has become an unusual focus of attention lately, even though short positions in AI giant have been increasing to...
Markets rose on Wednesday, recovering losses from the previous session in anticipation of important data on regional activity and awaiting the ECB's latest monetary policy meeting. At the open, it was up 0.4%. It was followed by the French CAC40 and the FTSE 100 with 0.5% and 0.3% respectively, and finally the Spanish IBEX35 with around 0.4%. A rate cut of 25...
Since the beginning of the month, there have been signs that crude oil has been falling and this has continued into today's Asian opening at a total of -9.11%. OPEC+ (OPEC with Russia and its allies) wanted to impress the market by extending the mandatory cuts, but the market has turned its attention to the voluntary cuts. The reversal of these cuts has set off a...
Mixed results are expected this day as we begin a new trading month and WallStreet indices start with solid gains in the month of May. The S&P500 benchmark is up 17 points or about 0.3%. The Nasdaq Composite was up 156 points (0.9%), and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, composed of 30 top companies, fell 25 points (-0.1%). The PCE data showed a slight cooling of...
- The market has been registering higher highs and lows since beginning of May ; the short-term trend is then bullish.
- The sharp market rally that saw prices climbing 4.14% higher from 164.000 to 170.800 seems to be losing momentum.
Indeed, the bearish divergence displayed by the RSI indicator, and the fact that new highs were registered with less and less...
Today, the European market started lower, strongly influenced by the rise in global bond yields. This has affected confidence ahead of the release of long-awaited inflation data at the end of the week. Yesterday Wall Street showed some weakness coupled with the Asian market also closing in losses, partly under pressure from rising US Treasury yields as inflation...
Today's data releases include M3 currency production, mortgages, and private and corporate loans, as well as PPI, retail sales, consumer sentiment, and monthly and annual consumer price index data for several eurozone countries, mainly Germany. At the US open we have the MBA index of loans, purchasing power, and 30-year debt; and German inflation rates.
This...
- The market still trades above its bullish long-term trendline ; The long-term trend remains alive to this day.
- Since March 2024, the market has entered a consolidation phase, trading sideways between $57K/ GETTEX:59K and $70K.
Both moving averages remain bullish, as dynamic support to prices, while the RSI indicator has broken-out its bearish trendline...
- The market was trading inside a bullish channel since the beginning of 2024 ; the mid-term trend was then bullish.
- With the establishment of a new 7-months high at 0.9225 in early May 2024, the market's bullish trend has been invalidated with a bearish flag consolidation pattern, previously forecasted by a bearish divergence between prices and the MACD...
This day has seen the price differential between the COMEX and the London Metal Exchange (LME) seen as a support for the consolidation of the UK market. The copper market has been experiencing tensions due in part to the closure of one of the most important mines in Latin America located in Panama, coupled with the reduction of production forecasts from several...
Today on Memorial Day, the US market will remain closed today. The ECB has focused on cutting interest rates trying to get ahead of its peers in the US and UK. European stocks have started slightly higher from Friday's close. Sentiment continued part of the day up 0.28% at around 18,745 points. Data from the Ifo institute on current conditions were slightly below...
Today we face news from the UK regarding general retail sales which are expected to be slightly negative versus the previous result, including the annual. Market start sentiment has been relatively negative due to concerns of interest rate hike by the FED. The DAX, CAC40,FTSE100 fell at the open by 0.9%,0.6% and 0.9% respectively.
Sentiment for the week's close...
