British Pound Futures
Short
Updated

6B1!: GBPUSD Futures Outlook: Bearish Momentum Persists

117
The GBPUSD CFD continues its cautious descent following a rejection from the critical 1.3590 supply area. This level, historically a significant resistance point, has thwarted recent bullish attempts, reinforcing the prevailing bearish sentiment among traders and investors alike.

Technical Breakdown
After failing to sustain gains above 1.3590, sellers have gained momentum, targeting lower levels of support. The immediate focus now shifts to the daily demand zone around 1.3300. Should the price reach this level, it is plausible that buyers will emerge, viewing it as an attractive entry point with a well-defined risk below the zone. A successful bounce here could trigger a rally, offering traders an opportunity to position for a potential reversal.

Potential for Further Decline
If market conditions remain unchanged—particularly in terms of Commitment of Traders (COT) data and fundamental factors—there is a possibility that the pair could test even lower support levels. Currently, the next significant demand zone lies near 1.3230, which could serve as the next target for bears if selling pressure intensifies.

Broader Market Context
Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) appears to be demonstrating resilience, finding demand at current levels. This inverse relationship suggests that, despite the weakening GBP, the USD might be strengthening or stabilizing, adding weight to the bearish outlook for GBPUSD.

Trading Strategy and Outlook
Our current stance is to maintain our short positions with a close eye on the 1.3300 support zone. If the price holds above this level, it could serve as a foundation for a potential rebound, provided macroeconomic fundamentals and sentiment remain unchanged. Conversely, a decisive break below 1.3230 could accelerate the decline toward next support levels, confirming a sustained bearish trend.


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