Apple
9 - 13 May
The weekly VXAPL-> Volatility Index for APPLE
Implied = 39.02
In this we have to standard it for weekly session
39.02 / sqrt(52-> 52 weeks in a year) = 5.41%
My historical product is telling me with 1.5x coficient that the expected movement for this week
E Volatility = 39.39 / sqrt(52) = 5.46%
With this data, from my calculations, when EV > VIX, there were a 86.6% chance that the market
stay within the bottom and top created with the ranged from the E Vol
So for next week this range for us is going to be
TOP - 166
BOT - 149
Lets look into an iron condor oppotunity for trading:
165Call Sell - 167.5Call Buy
149Put sell - 147 Put buy
This is giving us at the current moment a 0.26 expectancy
So taking into account from 621weekly candles, that 82% of the times the market stay within our top/bot channel,
Our profit margin would be 82% * 0.26 - 18%*1 = 4.2ROI after 100 trades
9 - 13 May
The weekly VXAPL-> Volatility Index for APPLE
Implied = 39.02
In this we have to standard it for weekly session
39.02 / sqrt(52-> 52 weeks in a year) = 5.41%
My historical product is telling me with 1.5x coficient that the expected movement for this week
E Volatility = 39.39 / sqrt(52) = 5.46%
With this data, from my calculations, when EV > VIX, there were a 86.6% chance that the market
stay within the bottom and top created with the ranged from the E Vol
So for next week this range for us is going to be
TOP - 166
BOT - 149
Lets look into an iron condor oppotunity for trading:
165Call Sell - 167.5Call Buy
149Put sell - 147 Put buy
This is giving us at the current moment a 0.26 expectancy
So taking into account from 621weekly candles, that 82% of the times the market stay within our top/bot channel,
Our profit margin would be 82% * 0.26 - 18%*1 = 4.2ROI after 100 trades
🔻My Website: hercules.money/
🔻Blog: hercules.money/blog/
🔻Telegram : t.me/hercules_trading
🔻Discord: discord.gg/hudcJvcCAq
🔻Blog: hercules.money/blog/
🔻Telegram : t.me/hercules_trading
🔻Discord: discord.gg/hudcJvcCAq
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
🔻My Website: hercules.money/
🔻Blog: hercules.money/blog/
🔻Telegram : t.me/hercules_trading
🔻Discord: discord.gg/hudcJvcCAq
🔻Blog: hercules.money/blog/
🔻Telegram : t.me/hercules_trading
🔻Discord: discord.gg/hudcJvcCAq
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.