🔍 Technical Analysis Overview (Daily + 1H)
Apple (AAPL) just printed a powerful bullish candle, reclaiming $201 with strong volume. This move broke above recent consolidation and swept minor liquidity under $196 before reclaiming key levels. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) lens, we’ve confirmed a bullish CHoCH and BOS (Break of Structure), with price now entering a potential supply zone.
* Trend: Short-term reversal to the upside.
* Volume: Strong breakout volume supports bullish continuation.
* Liquidity Sweep: Price swept lows around $195 and reclaimed — a classic SMC setup.
* Rejection Watch: Overhead supply around $202–$204 is the next test zone.
🧠 Key Levels to Watch
* Resistance Zones:
* $202.5 → GEX3rd CALL Wall
* $204 → Highest positive NetGamma / Call Bias
* $207.5 → GEX2
* Support Zones:
* $197.5 → GEX9
* $192 → HVL + 50% Zone
* $190 → GEX Put Support
* $185 → 3rd Put Wall
⚙️ Options Sentiment (GEX Analysis)
* 📈 GEX Tilt: Call walls dominating from $200 → $210.
* 🧲 Gamma Magnet: $202–$205 could act as a magnet zone short-term.
* ❗ Volatility: IV Rank at 21 and IV% below avg = room to expand.
* 🛡️ Put Protection: Strong GEX support around $190–$192 — buyers stepped in here.
🔄 Intraday Outlook (1H Chart)
Price already filled the green demand zone (~$195–$197), swept key liquidity, and confirmed CHoCH. The strong bullish engulfing candle closed above the descending trendline and is now entering the supply zone marked in red.
* 📌 Possible Scenarios:
* Bullish: If price reclaims and holds above $201.30 → watch for $204–$205 squeeze.
* Bearish: Rejection at $202–$204 and loss of $200 could push us back to $197 retest.
🔁 Scalping Levels
* Breakout Long Trigger: Above $202.5
* 🎯 Target: $204.5 → $207
* ❌ Stop: Below $200.3
* Short-term Reversal Short: From $203.5–204 zone
* 🎯 Target: $200.5 then $198
* ❌ Stop: Above $205
🎯 Swing Trade Plan
* Entry: $200.50–201.00 zone (hold retest)
* Stop: $196.5
* Target:
* TP1 = $204.5
* TP2 = $207.5
* TP3 = $210
🧠 Final Thoughts
AAPL is entering a high-confluence zone both technically and via options data. If bulls hold above $200, there’s a strong chance we tag $204+ soon. But keep in mind — heavy resistance above may cause choppiness. Ideal strategy? Trail stops tight and scale out into GEX walls.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
Apple (AAPL) just printed a powerful bullish candle, reclaiming $201 with strong volume. This move broke above recent consolidation and swept minor liquidity under $196 before reclaiming key levels. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) lens, we’ve confirmed a bullish CHoCH and BOS (Break of Structure), with price now entering a potential supply zone.
* Trend: Short-term reversal to the upside.
* Volume: Strong breakout volume supports bullish continuation.
* Liquidity Sweep: Price swept lows around $195 and reclaimed — a classic SMC setup.
* Rejection Watch: Overhead supply around $202–$204 is the next test zone.
🧠 Key Levels to Watch
* Resistance Zones:
* $202.5 → GEX3rd CALL Wall
* $204 → Highest positive NetGamma / Call Bias
* $207.5 → GEX2
* Support Zones:
* $197.5 → GEX9
* $192 → HVL + 50% Zone
* $190 → GEX Put Support
* $185 → 3rd Put Wall
⚙️ Options Sentiment (GEX Analysis)
* 📈 GEX Tilt: Call walls dominating from $200 → $210.
* 🧲 Gamma Magnet: $202–$205 could act as a magnet zone short-term.
* ❗ Volatility: IV Rank at 21 and IV% below avg = room to expand.
* 🛡️ Put Protection: Strong GEX support around $190–$192 — buyers stepped in here.
🔄 Intraday Outlook (1H Chart)
Price already filled the green demand zone (~$195–$197), swept key liquidity, and confirmed CHoCH. The strong bullish engulfing candle closed above the descending trendline and is now entering the supply zone marked in red.
* 📌 Possible Scenarios:
* Bullish: If price reclaims and holds above $201.30 → watch for $204–$205 squeeze.
* Bearish: Rejection at $202–$204 and loss of $200 could push us back to $197 retest.
🔁 Scalping Levels
* Breakout Long Trigger: Above $202.5
* 🎯 Target: $204.5 → $207
* ❌ Stop: Below $200.3
* Short-term Reversal Short: From $203.5–204 zone
* 🎯 Target: $200.5 then $198
* ❌ Stop: Above $205
🎯 Swing Trade Plan
* Entry: $200.50–201.00 zone (hold retest)
* Stop: $196.5
* Target:
* TP1 = $204.5
* TP2 = $207.5
* TP3 = $210
🧠 Final Thoughts
AAPL is entering a high-confluence zone both technically and via options data. If bulls hold above $200, there’s a strong chance we tag $204+ soon. But keep in mind — heavy resistance above may cause choppiness. Ideal strategy? Trail stops tight and scale out into GEX walls.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.