🍎 AAPL Short-Term Bearish Play – ATM Put into $200 Magnet Zone
🗓️ Date: June 6, 2025
⏳ Timeframe: 0DTE (intraday to EOD swing)
📉 Setup: Breakdown continuation with weak bounce potential
🔍 Model Summary Breakdown
Model Bias Strike Entry Target Stop Confidence
Grok 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25 0.60 68%
Claude 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25/1.66 0.50 68%
Llama 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25 $202.50↑ 65%
Gemini 🔻 Bearish $197.50 put 0.36 0.60/0.72 0.18 65%
DeepSeek 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25 0.42 70%
✅ Consensus Bias: Moderately Bearish
📊 Strike Favorite: $200 Put (high OI, max pain magnet)
⚖️ Sentiment Factors:
VIX stable
Heavy OI at $200 (puts > calls)
AAPL trading below all intraday EMAs
🧭 Technical Snapshot
Short-Term (5m / 15m): Price below 10/20-EMAs, bearish MACD
Daily: Momentum weakening, but not full reversal yet
Support/Resistance: $200 max pain zone = gravitational level
News Flow: Neutral — no major catalysts yet
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
Metric Value
Instrument AAPL
Direction PUT (Short)
Strike $200.00
Expiry 2025-06-06
Entry Price $0.83 (ask)
Profit Target $1.25 (≈50%)
Stop-Loss $0.60 (≈30%)
Position Size 1 contract
Confidence 68%
Entry Timing Market open
🎯 Rationale
📉 All models agree on bearish technicals across multiple timeframes
🧲 Max pain + heavy $200 OI acts as a price magnet into close
🔄 Risk/reward favors quick downside move if $200 breaks cleanly
⚠️ Risks to Monitor
⏳ Theta decay — 0DTE option requires fast movement
🔁 Oversold bounce near $200 support could reject breakdown
📈 Gap-up open above $201.50 would invalidate trade thesis
🔔 Low-vol environment may compress intraday moves
🗓️ Date: June 6, 2025
⏳ Timeframe: 0DTE (intraday to EOD swing)
📉 Setup: Breakdown continuation with weak bounce potential
🔍 Model Summary Breakdown
Model Bias Strike Entry Target Stop Confidence
Grok 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25 0.60 68%
Claude 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25/1.66 0.50 68%
Llama 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25 $202.50↑ 65%
Gemini 🔻 Bearish $197.50 put 0.36 0.60/0.72 0.18 65%
DeepSeek 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25 0.42 70%
✅ Consensus Bias: Moderately Bearish
📊 Strike Favorite: $200 Put (high OI, max pain magnet)
⚖️ Sentiment Factors:
VIX stable
Heavy OI at $200 (puts > calls)
AAPL trading below all intraday EMAs
🧭 Technical Snapshot
Short-Term (5m / 15m): Price below 10/20-EMAs, bearish MACD
Daily: Momentum weakening, but not full reversal yet
Support/Resistance: $200 max pain zone = gravitational level
News Flow: Neutral — no major catalysts yet
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
Metric Value
Instrument AAPL
Direction PUT (Short)
Strike $200.00
Expiry 2025-06-06
Entry Price $0.83 (ask)
Profit Target $1.25 (≈50%)
Stop-Loss $0.60 (≈30%)
Position Size 1 contract
Confidence 68%
Entry Timing Market open
🎯 Rationale
📉 All models agree on bearish technicals across multiple timeframes
🧲 Max pain + heavy $200 OI acts as a price magnet into close
🔄 Risk/reward favors quick downside move if $200 breaks cleanly
⚠️ Risks to Monitor
⏳ Theta decay — 0DTE option requires fast movement
🔁 Oversold bounce near $200 support could reject breakdown
📈 Gap-up open above $201.50 would invalidate trade thesis
🔔 Low-vol environment may compress intraday moves
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.