Disclaimer:
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. All opinions expressed are based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
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AMD reported Q2 2025 revenue of $7.7B (↑32% YoY, beat est.), but shares fell >5% after hours. EPS met expectations at $0.48, yet margins were hit by an $800M China-related inventory charge.
Data center growth disappointed at +14%, missing high AI-driven expectations. Despite strong Q3 guidance ($8.7B rev), investors reacted to lack of MI308 revenue from China and slower AI chip ramp.
Forward view: All eyes on MI350 deployment, MI400 launch, and export license clarity. Execution must now justify elevated valuation. Until then, volatility likely persists.
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I'm looking at these 4 trading ideas based on AMD's current setup post-earnings:
1. Short-Term Reversal Play (Swing Long)
Setup: AMD dropped >5% on earnings despite solid guidance.
Idea: Enter long near $165–168 support zone (post-earnings low) for a rebound to the $175–178 gap fill.
Risk: Tight stop under $163.
Catalyst: Oversold bounce + dip-buyers reacting to bullish Q3 outlook.
2. Gap-Fill Fade (Short-Term Short)
Setup: If AMD rallies into $177–179 to fill the earnings gap.
Idea: Enter short into resistance if volume fades or rejection confirms.
Target: $168–170.
Risk: Stop above $180.
Catalyst: Sell-the-news flow, especially if macro/headwinds persist.
3. Mid-Term Accumulation (AI Growth Thesis)
Setup: Valuation reset + long-term AI roadmap (MI350 → MI400).
Idea: Gradual long build on dips below $170, targeting $200+ by H1 2026.
Timeframe: 6–12 months.
Catalyst: China export resolution, MI400 launch, AI GPU traction.
4. Options Strategy: Neutral-to-Bullish Bias
Setup: IV remains elevated post-earnings, possible consolidation ahead.
Idea: Sell cash-secured puts at $160–165 or deploy bull put spreads (e.g., Sep $165/$155).
Objective: Profit from time decay if AMD holds range.
Catalyst: Theta income with defined risk while waiting for next trend.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. All opinions expressed are based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
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AMD reported Q2 2025 revenue of $7.7B (↑32% YoY, beat est.), but shares fell >5% after hours. EPS met expectations at $0.48, yet margins were hit by an $800M China-related inventory charge.
Data center growth disappointed at +14%, missing high AI-driven expectations. Despite strong Q3 guidance ($8.7B rev), investors reacted to lack of MI308 revenue from China and slower AI chip ramp.
Forward view: All eyes on MI350 deployment, MI400 launch, and export license clarity. Execution must now justify elevated valuation. Until then, volatility likely persists.
---
I'm looking at these 4 trading ideas based on AMD's current setup post-earnings:
1. Short-Term Reversal Play (Swing Long)
Setup: AMD dropped >5% on earnings despite solid guidance.
Idea: Enter long near $165–168 support zone (post-earnings low) for a rebound to the $175–178 gap fill.
Risk: Tight stop under $163.
Catalyst: Oversold bounce + dip-buyers reacting to bullish Q3 outlook.
2. Gap-Fill Fade (Short-Term Short)
Setup: If AMD rallies into $177–179 to fill the earnings gap.
Idea: Enter short into resistance if volume fades or rejection confirms.
Target: $168–170.
Risk: Stop above $180.
Catalyst: Sell-the-news flow, especially if macro/headwinds persist.
3. Mid-Term Accumulation (AI Growth Thesis)
Setup: Valuation reset + long-term AI roadmap (MI350 → MI400).
Idea: Gradual long build on dips below $170, targeting $200+ by H1 2026.
Timeframe: 6–12 months.
Catalyst: China export resolution, MI400 launch, AI GPU traction.
4. Options Strategy: Neutral-to-Bullish Bias
Setup: IV remains elevated post-earnings, possible consolidation ahead.
Idea: Sell cash-secured puts at $160–165 or deploy bull put spreads (e.g., Sep $165/$155).
Objective: Profit from time decay if AMD holds range.
Catalyst: Theta income with defined risk while waiting for next trend.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.