📝 Key Summary:
Arbitrum (ARB) is currently consolidating within the Fibonacci golden pocket (0.445–0.471), which also acts as a major demand zone. This area will decide whether ARB can continue its bullish phase toward the psychological $1+ levels, or fail to hold and revisit deeper supports.
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🔍 Price Structure & Key Patterns
1. Accumulation / Demand Zone (0.445–0.471):
This zone is a confluence of Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 and a strong historical support-resistance flip. Holding this level keeps the mid-term bullish case alive.
2. Higher Low Formation Since June:
From the 0.242 bottom, ARB has started forming higher lows, suggesting a potential transition toward a healthier uptrend.
3. Rejection at Supply Zone (0.62–0.63):
The latest rally was rejected here, confirming strong selling pressure. A clean breakout above this zone will be a key signal for a larger rally.
4. Wide Trading Range:
ARB is still ranging between 0.24 (low) and 1.23 (high). The current price sits in the lower-mid range, making this a high-interest zone for medium-term investors.
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📈 Bullish Scenario
✅ Conditions: Price holds above 0.445–0.471 (2D bullish close + volume confirmation).
➡️ Upside targets:
First resistance: 0.6266
Next: 0.7148 → 0.9197 → 1.0317 → 1.1695 → 1.2392 (previous high)
📌 Note: A breakout above 0.63 with strong volume could trigger a multi-week swing rally.
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📉 Bearish Scenario
❌ Conditions: 2D close below 0.4458 + strong selling volume.
➡️ Downside targets:
0.35 (intermediate support)
0.2420 (multi-month low / extreme demand zone)
📌 Note: Losing the golden pocket usually signals that the market isn’t ready for a bullish trend, raising the risk of retesting previous lows.
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🧭 Trading Approach
Conservative: Wait for a 2D bullish rejection above 0.47 → long entry, stop below 0.445, first target 0.6266+.
Aggressive: Partial long entries at current levels, adding more upon bullish confirmation.
Short setup: Valid on breakdown below 0.445 → target 0.35, extension to 0.24 if selling persists.
Always apply risk management (RR ≥ 1:2), scale out at resistance levels.
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📌 Conclusion
ARB is currently sitting at the key decision zone (Fibonacci golden pocket 0.445–0.471).
If this zone holds → bullish bias toward 0.63 up to 0.92+.
If this zone breaks → bearish bias toward 0.35 and potentially 0.24.
Traders should wait for candle + volume confirmation before committing, as this level could mark a major turning point in ARB’s mid-term trend.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.