🚀 ASTS Earnings & Options Breakdown (2025-08-11) 🚀
### AST SpaceMobile \
ASTS — **Moderate Bearish Bias Ahead**
---
### 🔥 Quick Take:
* **Revenue:** +43.6% TTM growth but insanely high P/S ratio (\~3445) signals overvaluation.
* **Margins:** Operating margin -8769% — huge cash burn. Free cash flow negative \$268M+.
* **Guidance:** Historical misses with -87.5% surprise avg, only 14% beat rate last 7 quarters!
* **Analyst Targets:** Wide \$30–64 range, average \$48.56 — optimism vs risk mismatch.
### 💡 Options Flow Insights:
* Heavy **put open interest** at \$43 & \$45 strikes (36K+ contracts)
* Bearish skew with minimal call interest → institutional caution
* Potential for fast downside if key supports break
### 📉 Technicals:
* Price trading at **\$46.63**, below 20-day MA (\$53.47)
* RSI oversold at 24.5 → weak momentum
* Volume down vs 10-day average → distribution alert
* Support at \$45, resistance at \$50
### 🌍 Macro Context:
* Satellite tech growth potential but cash flow & regulatory hurdles
* Low-volatility market environment means amplified beta risk (ASTS beta 2.33)
---
### 🎯 Trade Setup:
**Buy \$43 Put — Exp 08/15**
* Entry: \$1.80
* Stop Loss: \$0.90 (50%)
* Profit Target: \$3.60 (200%)
* Position Size: Max 2% portfolio
* Timing: Enter pre-earnings close, exit 2 hours post-earnings if no target hit
---
### 🔥 Why This Trade?
* History of big earnings misses + bearish options flow
* Technical weakness & low volume pre-earnings
* High risk of downside volatility post-report
---
### ⚠️ Risk/Reward Summary:
| Metric | Value |
| ------------- | -------------- |
| Entry Price | \$1.80 |
| Profit Target | \$3.60 (+100%) |
| Stop Loss | \$0.90 (-50%) |
| Confidence | 75% |
---
### 📊 JSON Trade Signal for API / Bots:
```json
{
"instrument": "ASTS",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 43.00,
"expiry": "2025-08-15",
"confidence": 75,
"profit_target": 3.60,
"stop_loss": 0.90,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 1.80,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"earnings_time": "AMC",
"expected_move": 12.0,
"iv_rank": 0.85,
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-11T14:19:32-04:00"
}
```
---
# 🚨 **ASTS ALERT: BEARISH EARNINGS PLAY IN MOTION — POSITION ACCORDINGLY!** 🚨
### AST SpaceMobile \
ASTS — **Moderate Bearish Bias Ahead**---
### 🔥 Quick Take:
* **Revenue:** +43.6% TTM growth but insanely high P/S ratio (\~3445) signals overvaluation.
* **Margins:** Operating margin -8769% — huge cash burn. Free cash flow negative \$268M+.
* **Guidance:** Historical misses with -87.5% surprise avg, only 14% beat rate last 7 quarters!
* **Analyst Targets:** Wide \$30–64 range, average \$48.56 — optimism vs risk mismatch.
### 💡 Options Flow Insights:
* Heavy **put open interest** at \$43 & \$45 strikes (36K+ contracts)
* Bearish skew with minimal call interest → institutional caution
* Potential for fast downside if key supports break
### 📉 Technicals:
* Price trading at **\$46.63**, below 20-day MA (\$53.47)
* RSI oversold at 24.5 → weak momentum
* Volume down vs 10-day average → distribution alert
* Support at \$45, resistance at \$50
### 🌍 Macro Context:
* Satellite tech growth potential but cash flow & regulatory hurdles
* Low-volatility market environment means amplified beta risk (ASTS beta 2.33)
---
### 🎯 Trade Setup:
**Buy \$43 Put — Exp 08/15**
* Entry: \$1.80
* Stop Loss: \$0.90 (50%)
* Profit Target: \$3.60 (200%)
* Position Size: Max 2% portfolio
* Timing: Enter pre-earnings close, exit 2 hours post-earnings if no target hit
---
### 🔥 Why This Trade?
* History of big earnings misses + bearish options flow
* Technical weakness & low volume pre-earnings
* High risk of downside volatility post-report
---
### ⚠️ Risk/Reward Summary:
| Metric | Value |
| ------------- | -------------- |
| Entry Price | \$1.80 |
| Profit Target | \$3.60 (+100%) |
| Stop Loss | \$0.90 (-50%) |
| Confidence | 75% |
---
### 📊 JSON Trade Signal for API / Bots:
```json
{
"instrument": "ASTS",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 43.00,
"expiry": "2025-08-15",
"confidence": 75,
"profit_target": 3.60,
"stop_loss": 0.90,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 1.80,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"earnings_time": "AMC",
"expected_move": 12.0,
"iv_rank": 0.85,
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-11T14:19:32-04:00"
}
```
---
# 🚨 **ASTS ALERT: BEARISH EARNINGS PLAY IN MOTION — POSITION ACCORDINGLY!** 🚨
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.