AUDCHF

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China’s offshore gold vault strengthens its role in global gold pricing, potentially supporting AUD through higher gold demand. However, CHF’s safe-haven status and Switzerland’s stable fiscal policies could counterbalance this, especially if global risk aversion rises.
China's offshore gold vault in Hong Kong and its push for yuan-based gold pricing could indirectly impact AUD/CHF. As Australia is a major gold exporter, rising gold prices (influenced by China's de-dollarization efforts) may support the AUD. However, the CHF remains a safe-haven currency, gaining strength during global uncertainty, which could pressure AUD/CHF downward.
The current RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) cash rate is 3.85%, and the SNB (Swiss National Bank) policy interest rate is 0.00%. The SNB recently lowered its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 0% on June 19, 2025. The RBA last adjusted its cash rate in May, lowering it by 25 basis points to its current level.
Impact on AUD: The RBA’s steady rate policy supports AUD stability but limits aggressive appreciation unless inflation spikes or commodity exports (e.g., gold, driven by China’s vault) boost economic outlook.
Outlook: The RBA may hold rates steady through 2025 unless China’s demand for Australian commodities (e.g., iron ore, gold) significantly increases, potentially strengthening AUD.
Swiss National Bank (SNB) 0% rate
Impact on CHF: The low rate reinforces CHF’s safe-haven appeal, especially amid global uncertainties (e.g., US trade policies, geopolitical tensions). This strengthens CHF, capping AUD/CHF upside.
Outlook: The SNB is likely to maintain low rates, with potential cuts if deflationary pressures emerge, further supporting CHF strength.

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