🧭 TRADE PLAN: AUDJPY
📅 Date: April 2, 2025
🔖 Plan Type: Main Swing Plan
📈 Bias & Trade Type: Bearish Reversal – Premium Rejection + Liquidity Sweep
🔰 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
Reasons / Confluences:
– D1 bearish structure remains intact (LH + LL sequence)
– H4 supply zone with imbalance + previous liquidity wick
– EMA dynamic resistance confluence
– Bearish rejection with low volume follow-through
– Sentiment risk-off bias with JPY strength return
📌 Status:
Zone has been tapped – First touch complete
Awaiting H1 confirmation candle for possible execution. If price breaks above 94.60 without valid rejection, setup may be invalidated or require refinement toward Secondary Zone.
📍 Entry Zones:
🔴 Primary Sell Zone: 94.40 – 94.60
(H4 OB + imbalance zone + sweep of local highs)
🟠 Secondary Sell Zone: 94.85 – 95.00
(Extreme premium wick zone + deeper liquidity trap)
❗ Stop Loss: 95.20
(Above H4 wick high and institutional invalidation level)
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 93.25 🥉 (Recent demand bounce zone)
TP2: 92.35 🥈 (LTF equal lows and imbalance base)
TP3: 91.10 🏆 (Major swing low / D1 liquidity base)
📏 R:R Ratio: 1:3.8 minimum
(Optimized reward model for premium reversal setups)
🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY:
– Risk 1–2% max per setup
– Move SL to BE after TP1 hit
– Secure partials at TP2
– Trail remainder below LHs for TP3 extended run
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria (Before Entry):
– H1 bearish engulfing or rejection wick inside zone
– Volume spike followed by low momentum candle
– Optional: M30 MACD divergence (bearish)
⏳ Validity: 1–3 Days (H4-based structure)
❌ Invalidation if price closes above 95.20 or forms bullish H4 BOS
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Confluence:
– AUD under pressure from soft commodities + dovish RBA stance
– JPY gaining strength due to risk-off tone in equities
– No major high-impact JPY/AUD news in next 24h
📋 Final Summary:
Looking to sell AUDJPY on rally into premium supply zone (94.40–94.60), with tight confirmation. Structure + sentiment + zone alignment makes this a high-probability play. Await reaction + confirmation on H1 before triggering entry.
📅 Date: April 2, 2025
🔖 Plan Type: Main Swing Plan
📈 Bias & Trade Type: Bearish Reversal – Premium Rejection + Liquidity Sweep
🔰 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
Reasons / Confluences:
– D1 bearish structure remains intact (LH + LL sequence)
– H4 supply zone with imbalance + previous liquidity wick
– EMA dynamic resistance confluence
– Bearish rejection with low volume follow-through
– Sentiment risk-off bias with JPY strength return
📌 Status:
Zone has been tapped – First touch complete
Awaiting H1 confirmation candle for possible execution. If price breaks above 94.60 without valid rejection, setup may be invalidated or require refinement toward Secondary Zone.
📍 Entry Zones:
🔴 Primary Sell Zone: 94.40 – 94.60
(H4 OB + imbalance zone + sweep of local highs)
🟠 Secondary Sell Zone: 94.85 – 95.00
(Extreme premium wick zone + deeper liquidity trap)
❗ Stop Loss: 95.20
(Above H4 wick high and institutional invalidation level)
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 93.25 🥉 (Recent demand bounce zone)
TP2: 92.35 🥈 (LTF equal lows and imbalance base)
TP3: 91.10 🏆 (Major swing low / D1 liquidity base)
📏 R:R Ratio: 1:3.8 minimum
(Optimized reward model for premium reversal setups)
🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY:
– Risk 1–2% max per setup
– Move SL to BE after TP1 hit
– Secure partials at TP2
– Trail remainder below LHs for TP3 extended run
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria (Before Entry):
– H1 bearish engulfing or rejection wick inside zone
– Volume spike followed by low momentum candle
– Optional: M30 MACD divergence (bearish)
⏳ Validity: 1–3 Days (H4-based structure)
❌ Invalidation if price closes above 95.20 or forms bullish H4 BOS
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Confluence:
– AUD under pressure from soft commodities + dovish RBA stance
– JPY gaining strength due to risk-off tone in equities
– No major high-impact JPY/AUD news in next 24h
📋 Final Summary:
Looking to sell AUDJPY on rally into premium supply zone (94.40–94.60), with tight confirmation. Structure + sentiment + zone alignment makes this a high-probability play. Await reaction + confirmation on H1 before triggering entry.
Trade active
I extended my sl above the trade plans recommendation to 95.50 aprx 30 pips (don't encouraged to do it), but there was volatility due to Trumps tarrif speech markets went crazy (spikes) some in fav some not, i had a feeling it would hit original sl and then drop and it did exactly that, had not time to update here, so my sl did not hit personally, anyways if sl hit no issues part of trading, and if still in then secure the trade!.Trade closed: target reached
TP2+ HIT!
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.