AUDJPY potential shorts due weaker than expected China eco data.

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Industrial output grew by 5.7% year-on-year in July, down from 6.8% in June, marking the slowest growth since November 2024. This fell short of the 5.9% forecast by analysts in a Reuters poll and 5.82% by Wind.

Retail sales, a key gauge of consumption, rose by 3.7% year-on-year in July, down from 4.8% in June and below the expected 4.6% (Reuters) and 4.87% (Wind). This was the slowest growth since December 2024.

The reason for this trade idea is that Australia ranks as China’s seventh-largest trading partner overall, based on data from the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade and Chinese trade reports. Australia is China’s fifth-largest source of imports (primarily commodities like iron ore, coal, and natural gas) and tenth-largest export destination. Any news emerging from China has the potential to impact the Australian dollar.

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