AUDJPY 4Hour TF - August 3rd,2025

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🟦 AUDJPY 4H Analysis Bearish Idea

📅 August 3rd, 2025

🔹 Top-Down Trend Bias:
• Monthly – Bullish
• Weekly – Bullish
• Daily – Bullish
• 4H – Bearish

AUDJPY has broken cleanly below prior structure around 96.15, signaling short term bearish momentum within a higher timeframe bullish environment. Price is currently approaching key decision zones.

🔍 Key Zone: 96.15 – 96.45
This former support zone may now act as a bearish retest area and new resistance. This offers a potential entry for continuation plays if structure holds below.

✅ Scenario A: Bearish Continuation (Blue Path)

1.If price retests and rejects from 96.15–96.45

2.Look for bearish confirmation (rejection wicks, engulfing, LTF structure shift)

Target: 94.50

This setup is trend aligned with current 4H momentum and offers a clean structure based downside.

⚠️ Scenario B: Bullish Reclaim (Orange Path)

1.If price breaks and holds above 96.45

2.Could signal a shift back toward higher timeframe bullish continuation

Target: 97.20 resistance zone

This is a counter-trend idea on the 4H and requires confirmation

🧠 Final Notes
• Short-term bearish bias while price remains below 96.45
• Let the retest confirm the direction
• Clean structure = clean setups

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