AUDNZD has maintained a bearish tone since Monday’s New York session, following a break and retest of the trendline. The pair also closed below the 50 EMA, reinforcing the dominance of sellers in the market. Meanwhile, there are several factors that led to the weakness of the AUD. Earlier on Tuesday, the RBA implemented another interest rate cut, aligning with market expectations. However, the central bank's cautious outlook on economic growth has led to a more dovish tone, potentially limiting the Australian dollar's strength. Which was priced in on the chart.
TECHNICAL VIEW:
From technical perspective, the pair is seen bearish after the break and retest of the 4H trendline and price having closed below EMA 50 confirms that too. Meanwhile price is supported around 1.08316. Technicians ordinarily expects a rebound around 1.08752 before the next throw with potential target around 1.07861 and 1.07410. Whilst retracing, a break above 1.09176 would hint a reversal and hence potentially targeting 1.09332 and 1.09862. Break out of these levels are not ruled out.
UPCOMING CATALYST:
For the remainder of this week, there are no major economic releases scheduled. However, on Friday, May 23, 2025, Statistics New Zealand is set to publish the Q1 2025 Retail Sales data at 10:45 AM NZST (GMT+12).
This release will offer insights into consumer spending patterns and the overall health of New Zealand's economy. Strong retail sales figures could bolster the New Zealand dollar (NZD), while weaker numbers might exert downward pressure.
TECHNICAL VIEW:
From technical perspective, the pair is seen bearish after the break and retest of the 4H trendline and price having closed below EMA 50 confirms that too. Meanwhile price is supported around 1.08316. Technicians ordinarily expects a rebound around 1.08752 before the next throw with potential target around 1.07861 and 1.07410. Whilst retracing, a break above 1.09176 would hint a reversal and hence potentially targeting 1.09332 and 1.09862. Break out of these levels are not ruled out.
UPCOMING CATALYST:
For the remainder of this week, there are no major economic releases scheduled. However, on Friday, May 23, 2025, Statistics New Zealand is set to publish the Q1 2025 Retail Sales data at 10:45 AM NZST (GMT+12).
This release will offer insights into consumer spending patterns and the overall health of New Zealand's economy. Strong retail sales figures could bolster the New Zealand dollar (NZD), while weaker numbers might exert downward pressure.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.