🔥 AUDNZD TRADE PLAN 🔥
📅 Date: April 30, 2025
📋 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW
Plan ID: ANZ30APR25-SW Type: Swing Direction: Buy Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (86%) Risk:Reward: 4.3:1 Status: Waiting
🧭 Guidance Note: Primary Swing Plan based on fresh bullish BOS + H4 reversal structure confirmed. D1 sweep + OB reclaim. No tactical sell exists. Risk = 1%.
📈 MARKET BIAS & TRADE TYPE
Bias: 📈 Bullish Trade Type: Reversal → Continuation (Nested OB + BOS-Based Swing Entry)
🔰 CONFIDENCE LEVEL Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (86%)
Weight Breakdown: • D1 Bullish BOS → 28% • H4 Bullish OB Reclaim + iBOS → 22% • H1 OB + Sweep Confirmed → 16% • Macro Confluence (AUD Bullish, NZD Neutral) → 14% • Volume Spike M30 + VSA Matching → 6%
📍 ENTRY ZONES
🟥 Primary Buy Zone: 1.0760 – 1.0740 → H1 OB nested inside H4 OB → Sweep + Rejection Observed → 70.5% Fib OTE Alignment
🟧 Secondary Zone: 1.0730 – 1.0715 → Deep mitigation FVG fill zone → SMTZ-style reactive layer
❗ STOP LOSS
SL: 1.0690 • Below H1 OB + liquidity sweep wick • Adjusted with 1x H1 ATR (17 pips) • No SL tightening needed unless during news
🎯 TAKE PROFITS
TP1: 1.0835 → Immediate swing reaction zone (internal H1 liquidity)
TP2: 1.0900 → Clean H4 external liquidity sweep
TP3: 1.0975 → D1 premium reversal zone
📏 RISK:REWARD • TP1: 2.3:1 • TP2: 3.6:1 • TP3: 4.3:1
✅ Meets Swing Standard (Min 3.5:1)
🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY • Risk: 1.00% of capital • SL to BE +10 pips after TP1 • Scale Out: → 50% at TP1 → 30% at TP2 → 20% trailed toward TP3 • Immediate exit if NZD strengthens macroscopically or DXY spikes
⚠️ CONFIRMATION CRITERIA (Optional Manual Entry Enhancers) ✅ Entry can be set as pending limit OR wait for: • M30/H1 bullish engulfing inside OB • Volume spike M30 • No early entry — wait for clean candle formation if manual
⏳ VALIDITY Plan Type: Swing Expiration: 72 hours Auto-expire if price doesn’t enter zone or violates structure within 3 days
❌ INVALIDATION • D1 CHoCH against long bias • SL wick violation and internal structure break • Macro shift (AUD → Bearish, NZD → Bullish), sentiment score falls < +6
🌐 FUNDAMENTAL & SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT
• AUD Macro: Mildly Bullish (RBA steady, commodities up) • NZD Macro: Neutral (RBNZ data-dependent) • Retail Sentiment: 71% short AUDNZD → Bullish Confirmation • DXY: Weakening → Favors AUD • Cross-Market: AUDUSD firm, NZDUSD weak Sentiment Score: +7/10
📋 FINAL TRADE SUMMARY
We are executing a bullish swing continuation on AUDNZD. Entry aligns with OB reclaim, volume confirmation, and macro sentiment. Targets offer clean upside, risk is managed institutionally. No tactical sell setup active.
📅 Date: April 30, 2025
📋 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW
Plan ID: ANZ30APR25-SW Type: Swing Direction: Buy Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (86%) Risk:Reward: 4.3:1 Status: Waiting
🧭 Guidance Note: Primary Swing Plan based on fresh bullish BOS + H4 reversal structure confirmed. D1 sweep + OB reclaim. No tactical sell exists. Risk = 1%.
📈 MARKET BIAS & TRADE TYPE
Bias: 📈 Bullish Trade Type: Reversal → Continuation (Nested OB + BOS-Based Swing Entry)
🔰 CONFIDENCE LEVEL Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (86%)
Weight Breakdown: • D1 Bullish BOS → 28% • H4 Bullish OB Reclaim + iBOS → 22% • H1 OB + Sweep Confirmed → 16% • Macro Confluence (AUD Bullish, NZD Neutral) → 14% • Volume Spike M30 + VSA Matching → 6%
📍 ENTRY ZONES
🟥 Primary Buy Zone: 1.0760 – 1.0740 → H1 OB nested inside H4 OB → Sweep + Rejection Observed → 70.5% Fib OTE Alignment
🟧 Secondary Zone: 1.0730 – 1.0715 → Deep mitigation FVG fill zone → SMTZ-style reactive layer
❗ STOP LOSS
SL: 1.0690 • Below H1 OB + liquidity sweep wick • Adjusted with 1x H1 ATR (17 pips) • No SL tightening needed unless during news
🎯 TAKE PROFITS
TP1: 1.0835 → Immediate swing reaction zone (internal H1 liquidity)
TP2: 1.0900 → Clean H4 external liquidity sweep
TP3: 1.0975 → D1 premium reversal zone
📏 RISK:REWARD • TP1: 2.3:1 • TP2: 3.6:1 • TP3: 4.3:1
✅ Meets Swing Standard (Min 3.5:1)
🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY • Risk: 1.00% of capital • SL to BE +10 pips after TP1 • Scale Out: → 50% at TP1 → 30% at TP2 → 20% trailed toward TP3 • Immediate exit if NZD strengthens macroscopically or DXY spikes
⚠️ CONFIRMATION CRITERIA (Optional Manual Entry Enhancers) ✅ Entry can be set as pending limit OR wait for: • M30/H1 bullish engulfing inside OB • Volume spike M30 • No early entry — wait for clean candle formation if manual
⏳ VALIDITY Plan Type: Swing Expiration: 72 hours Auto-expire if price doesn’t enter zone or violates structure within 3 days
❌ INVALIDATION • D1 CHoCH against long bias • SL wick violation and internal structure break • Macro shift (AUD → Bearish, NZD → Bullish), sentiment score falls < +6
🌐 FUNDAMENTAL & SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT
• AUD Macro: Mildly Bullish (RBA steady, commodities up) • NZD Macro: Neutral (RBNZ data-dependent) • Retail Sentiment: 71% short AUDNZD → Bullish Confirmation • DXY: Weakening → Favors AUD • Cross-Market: AUDUSD firm, NZDUSD weak Sentiment Score: +7/10
📋 FINAL TRADE SUMMARY
We are executing a bullish swing continuation on AUDNZD. Entry aligns with OB reclaim, volume confirmation, and macro sentiment. Targets offer clean upside, risk is managed institutionally. No tactical sell setup active.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.