🟦 AUDUSD 4H Analysis Bearish Idea
📅 August 3, 2025
🔹 Top-Down Trend Bias:
• Monthly – Bearish
• Weekly – Bearish
• Daily – Bearish
• 4H – Bearish
AUDUSD remains in a clear downtrend across all major timeframes. Current price action shows a corrective move off recent lows but all signs point to this being a temporary pullback, not a reversal.
🔍 Key Zone: 0.6485 – 0.6528
This zone aligns with the 61.8% fib retracement, and previous structure making it a high probability rejection area.
✅ Scenario A: Bearish Continuation (Blue Path)
1.If price taps into 0.6485–0.6525 and rejects
2.Look for bearish confirmation (engulfing, lower high, break of structure)
Target 1: 0.6426 (previous low)
Target 2: 0.6398
Extended Target: 0.6350
This is the trend following setup, most probable given full HTF alignment.
⚠️ Scenario B: Bullish Breakout (Orange Path)
If price breaks and closes above 0.65000
1.Could signal short term shift with upside potential toward 0.6550
2.However, this is a counter-trend idea and lower probability unless higher timeframes begin shifting
🧠 Final Notes
• Bias remains bearish until proven otherwise
• Watch for confirmation at the fib/trendline confluence zone
• Patience > prediction
📅 August 3, 2025
🔹 Top-Down Trend Bias:
• Monthly – Bearish
• Weekly – Bearish
• Daily – Bearish
• 4H – Bearish
AUDUSD remains in a clear downtrend across all major timeframes. Current price action shows a corrective move off recent lows but all signs point to this being a temporary pullback, not a reversal.
🔍 Key Zone: 0.6485 – 0.6528
This zone aligns with the 61.8% fib retracement, and previous structure making it a high probability rejection area.
✅ Scenario A: Bearish Continuation (Blue Path)
1.If price taps into 0.6485–0.6525 and rejects
2.Look for bearish confirmation (engulfing, lower high, break of structure)
Target 1: 0.6426 (previous low)
Target 2: 0.6398
Extended Target: 0.6350
This is the trend following setup, most probable given full HTF alignment.
⚠️ Scenario B: Bullish Breakout (Orange Path)
If price breaks and closes above 0.65000
1.Could signal short term shift with upside potential toward 0.6550
2.However, this is a counter-trend idea and lower probability unless higher timeframes begin shifting
🧠 Final Notes
• Bias remains bearish until proven otherwise
• Watch for confirmation at the fib/trendline confluence zone
• Patience > prediction
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.