AUDUSD is currently trading around 0.63, forming a bearish flag pattern, which is a strong continuation signal for a potential drop in price. The market structure suggests that after a brief consolidation phase, the pair may break downward, targeting the 0.61 level. A confirmed breakout below the flag formation could accelerate selling pressure, leading to a sharp decline. Traders should monitor key support levels and bearish confirmations before entering short positions.
Fundamentally, the U.S. dollar remains strong amid expectations of continued Federal Reserve hawkishness. Recent economic data and risk-off sentiment in global markets have provided further support for USD strength, weighing heavily on AUDUSD. If market sentiment remains risk-averse, the pair could see additional downside pressure, making 0.61 a highly probable target.
From a technical perspective, maintaining a cautious approach is crucial. If AUDUSD breaks below the lower boundary of the flag pattern with strong volume, it could confirm further downside momentum. Traders should look for key resistance at 0.6350, as any rejection from this level could strengthen the bearish outlook. Keeping an eye on upcoming fundamental catalysts such as U.S. economic data and Australian trade reports will be crucial in determining the next move.
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