Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

AUD/USD) Bearish Trend Read The caption

284
SMC Trading point update



Technical analysis of AUD/USD (Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, with a likely setup for further downside. Here's a breakdown of the idea:


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Technical Summary

Pair: AUD/USD

Timeframe: 4H

Current Price: 0.64688

EMA 200: 0.65140 (price is below = bearish bias)

RSI (14): 48.23 (neutral to slightly bearish)



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Key Observations

1. Break of Trendline:

The previous ascending trendline (black) was broken to the downside.

This indicates a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish.



2. Resistance Rejection Zone:

Price recently retested a strong supply/resistance zone (yellow box near 0.65140) and was rejected.

This aligns with the 200 EMA → strong confluence for a sell setup.



3. Market Structure:

Price is forming lower highs, indicating sellers are gaining control.

The chart shows a projection of a bearish continuation pattern (zig-zag decline).



4. Target Zone:

Final target marked near 0.63700–0.63699, a previous support level.

This gives the setup a decent risk-reward ratio if the rejection holds.



5. RSI:

RSI is below 50, suggesting bearish momentum, but not oversold—still room to move down.



Mr SMC Trading point

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Conclusion & Trade Idea

Bias: Bearish

Sell Zone: Near the resistance area (0.65000–0.65150)

Target: 0.63700 zone

Stop Loss: Likely above 0.65200 (above resistance and EMA 200)

Confirmation: Price action forming lower highs and staying below EMA 200





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