BABA WEEKLY TRADE IDEA โ€“ JULY 21, 2025

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๐Ÿ‰ BABA WEEKLY TRADE IDEA โ€“ JULY 21, 2025 ๐Ÿ‰
๐Ÿ“ˆ Strong RSI. Institutional Accumulation. Gamma-juiced upside.
Momentum is building โ€” timing is key.

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๐Ÿ“Š Trade Setup
๐Ÿ”น Type: Long Call
๐ŸŽฏ Strike: $130.00
๐Ÿ“† Expiry: July 25, 2025 (4 DTE)
๐Ÿ’ฐ Entry Price: $0.52
๐ŸŽฏ Profit Target: $0.74 (๐Ÿ“ˆ +42%)
๐Ÿ›‘ Stop Loss: $0.30 (~40% Risk)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Confidence: 70%
๐Ÿ•ฐ๏ธ Timing: Enter at Monday Open
๐Ÿ“ฆ Size: 1 Contract (or scale accordingly)

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๐Ÿ” Why This Trade?
โœ… Daily RSI = 68.3 โ†’ Bullish momentum building
โœ… Volume = 1.3x week-over-week โ†’ Institutional buying confirmed
๐Ÿ“Š Neutral Call/Put Flow โ†’ Sentiment not overheated = better entry
๐Ÿง  Multiple models agree on MODERATE BULLISH bias
๐ŸŒฌ๏ธ VIX stable = ideal for controlled option premium entries
๐Ÿ’Ž Gamma risk manageable, but monitor price spikes at resistance near $130โ€“132

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โš ๏ธ Risk Management Notes
๐Ÿ”ธ RSI near breakout zone โ†’ monitor for fakeouts
โณ Only 4 days to expiry โ†’ time decay risk accelerates
๐Ÿ“‰ Watch for rejection near key levels ($130.50โ€“132.00)
๐Ÿ›‘ Respect the stop: If momentum stalls early, exit fast

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๐Ÿ“Œ Execution Strategy
๐Ÿ”น Enter clean, single-leg naked call
๐Ÿ”น Exit partial at 30% profit, full by Thursday unless breakout is strong
๐Ÿ”น Avoid spreads: delta exposure preferred for upside spike capture

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๐Ÿ Verdict:
All models point to upside, but not full conviction.
This is a momentum + positioning trade, not a breakout gamble.

BABA 130C โ€“ Risk $0.30 to Target $0.74 ๐Ÿ“ˆ
Tight structure. Moderate aggression. Execute with precision.

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