Published by WaverVanir International LLC | 06/11/2025
BABA has broken out of its multi-year base and is now in a potential macro reversal structure. The current retracement near $120 could act as a higher low before a continuation toward the unfilled liquidity zone around $183.13, a major inefficiency level from late 2021.
🔍 Key Technicals:
✅ Long accumulation between 2022–2024
🚀 Breakout above $100 confirmed by strong volume
🔁 Pullback into prior breakout zone (~$115–$120) could offer optimal re-entry
📈 Target: $183.13 (Gap-fill + structural resistance)
📉 Risk Management:
🛑 Invalid below $105 (structure break)
🎯 Risk/Reward favorable if entries are scaled in sub-$125
📊 Probability Weighted Bias:
Bullish Continuation: 65%
Consolidation: 25%
Breakdown/Invalidation: 10%
🧠 Macro Catalyst Watch:
China stimulus or regulatory easing 📉🪙
Fed rate pivot & USD weakness 💵🕊️
Earnings growth rebound in Alibaba’s cloud segment 🌐📊
This setup reflects asymmetric potential as tech re-rates globally. Risk-defined, sentiment-watching, and catalyst-aware traders may consider positioning for a medium-term swing.
#Alibaba
BABA #SMC #GapFill #TradingStrategy #WaverVanir #TechStocks #ChinaEquities #SwingTrading
BABA has broken out of its multi-year base and is now in a potential macro reversal structure. The current retracement near $120 could act as a higher low before a continuation toward the unfilled liquidity zone around $183.13, a major inefficiency level from late 2021.
🔍 Key Technicals:
✅ Long accumulation between 2022–2024
🚀 Breakout above $100 confirmed by strong volume
🔁 Pullback into prior breakout zone (~$115–$120) could offer optimal re-entry
📈 Target: $183.13 (Gap-fill + structural resistance)
📉 Risk Management:
🛑 Invalid below $105 (structure break)
🎯 Risk/Reward favorable if entries are scaled in sub-$125
📊 Probability Weighted Bias:
Bullish Continuation: 65%
Consolidation: 25%
Breakdown/Invalidation: 10%
🧠 Macro Catalyst Watch:
China stimulus or regulatory easing 📉🪙
Fed rate pivot & USD weakness 💵🕊️
Earnings growth rebound in Alibaba’s cloud segment 🌐📊
This setup reflects asymmetric potential as tech re-rates globally. Risk-defined, sentiment-watching, and catalyst-aware traders may consider positioning for a medium-term swing.
#Alibaba
BABA #SMC #GapFill #TradingStrategy #WaverVanir #TechStocks #ChinaEquities #SwingTrading
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.