Bitcoin
Long
Updated

BTCUSD Trade Analysis & Plan (Long Setup) - May 4th 2025

72
📊 BTCUSD Trade Analysis & Plan (Long Setup)
Instrument: BTCUSD
Strategy Type: Trend Continuation
Timeframes Observed: 4H / Daily
Trade Horizon: 2–4 Days

🔍 Market Overview
BTCUSD continues to exhibit a bullish structure on the 4H and Daily timeframes, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. Recent consolidation above key support zones suggests strength, and bullish momentum is building for a potential continuation leg toward the $103,500 level.

The price recently pulled back, providing attractive levels for re-entry in alignment with the prevailing uptrend. This trade plan is designed to scale in on retracements while maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.

🎯 Trade Setup Summary
Entry Price Level
Entry 1 $96,900
Entry 2 $95,560
Entry 3 $94,520
Optional Entry 4 $93,400

Stop Loss (All positions): $92,680
Take Profit (All positions): $103,500
Risk-Reward (approx.): 1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on entry

🔐 Technical Confluences
Support Zone: $94,000–$95,500 aligns with previous breakout and 0.382/0.5 Fibonacci retracement.

Trendline Support: Intact from recent swing lows.

Volume Profile: High volume node near $95,500 supports bullish reaction from this zone.

Momentum Indicators: RSI remains above 50, and MACD signals potential bullish crossover.

📈 Trade Management Plan
Consider scaling in using DCA method at marked entries.

Monitor 4H closes above $97,000 for confirmation of bullish continuation.

If price touches optional entry level at $93,400, it offers additional risk-managed exposure with same SL.

Adjust SL to breakeven when price crosses $99,000 for risk-free trade management.
Note
📌 Note on Dynamic Market Conditions

Dear Traders,

As many of you are aware, the cryptocurrency market — particularly BTCUSD — is inherently dynamic and ever-evolving. Price action is influenced by a wide range of factors, including liquidity shifts, macroeconomic data, order book behavior, institutional flows, and evolving sentiment. Therefore, it's essential to understand that no analysis or trade plan is set in stone.

While I provide a well-reasoned trade setup with clearly defined entries, stop loss, and take profit levels based on current market structure, these parameters are not static. Instead, they are subject to refinement in response to real-time developments.

🔄 Why Adjustments Happen:
Volatility Expansion: Increased volatility may warrant a wider stop loss or an extended profit target.

Structure Shifts: If market structure (e.g., support/resistance or trendline integrity) changes, I recalibrate key levels accordingly.

News Events: Unexpected macroeconomic or geopolitical events can invalidate a previous outlook.

Confirmation Logic: Sometimes I wait for candlestick confirmations or trend continuations to adjust SL/TP zones for better probability setups.

🛠️ Adaptive Risk Management
Adjusting stop loss and take profit is not a sign of weakness or inconsistency — it's a sign of strategic adaptability. Preserving capital and capturing optimal reward-to-risk scenarios requires an active approach. I always prioritize:

Minimizing drawdown

Maximizing favorable risk-reward opportunities

Responding in sync with current momentum and market psychology

Rest assured, every modification I make is grounded in objective market behavior, not emotional reaction. All updates are transparently communicated to help you understand the evolving rationale.

Stay flexible. Stay informed. Stay profitable.

— NextElliott
Note
Expecting price reversal for Btc soon.. After few hours.
Trade closed: target reached
Target 103500 achieved ...

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.