The follow chart is a comparison between Bitcoin 
BTC Daily Chart and the US 2 years Treasury Bonds 
US02Y .
The graphic shows the 2-year US Treasury yield declining from 3.7684% to 3.7308% on August 12, 2025, following a steep drop after CPI inflation in July stabilized at 2.7%. This underscores market expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates, driving up demand for bonds as a safe haven asset.
The potential on Short-Term Impact on the Bitcoin Market:
* Positive: Falling rates and expectations for rate cuts weaken the US dollar, boosting capital flows into riskier assets such as Bitcoin. BTC may gain in the immediate term, testing the $130,000 resistance level, aided by new liquidity from stablecoins.
* Risk: While falling yields can support Bitcoin’s bullish momentum, they may also signal recession fears. If investors interpret the decline as a warning of economic slowdown, BTC could face selling pressure—potentially dropping to $111,939. Volatility remains elevated, especially after the recent liquidation of leveraged long positions. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data for confirmation of market direction.
BTC Daily Chart and the US 2 years Treasury Bonds US02Y .The graphic shows the 2-year US Treasury yield declining from 3.7684% to 3.7308% on August 12, 2025, following a steep drop after CPI inflation in July stabilized at 2.7%. This underscores market expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates, driving up demand for bonds as a safe haven asset.
The potential on Short-Term Impact on the Bitcoin Market:
* Positive: Falling rates and expectations for rate cuts weaken the US dollar, boosting capital flows into riskier assets such as Bitcoin. BTC may gain in the immediate term, testing the $130,000 resistance level, aided by new liquidity from stablecoins.
* Risk: While falling yields can support Bitcoin’s bullish momentum, they may also signal recession fears. If investors interpret the decline as a warning of economic slowdown, BTC could face selling pressure—potentially dropping to $111,939. Volatility remains elevated, especially after the recent liquidation of leveraged long positions. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data for confirmation of market direction.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.