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BTCUSD Analysis : Curve Line Breaked and Move Towards Target

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📊 Market Overview:
BTCUSD has recently completed a strong bullish leg, following a parabolic curve formation that led price into a Major Resistance Zone near the $120,400 level. This rally aligns with MMC principles where price forms momentum-driven structures before reaching high-liquidity zones (often ending in exhaustion).

📍 1. Curve Line Support & Breakdown – A Shift in Sentiment
Your chart shows a clear Curve Line that supported the bullish impulse. Price respected this dynamic support throughout the uptrend until a Curve Line Breakdown occurred—marking the first sign of bullish weakness.

In MMC strategy, this curve structure breakdown is critical:

It tells us the accumulation → expansion → exhaustion cycle is ending.

The market is likely entering retracement or distribution phase.

Price often seeks lower equilibrium, typically around the Central Zone.

🧠 2. QFL Zone (Quick Flip Level) – The Hidden Base
Immediately after the curve broke, price moved toward the QFL level, which represents a demand base from earlier structure. This zone acts as a short-term support and often produces a reactive bounce (but not always a reversal).

Watch closely:

If price respects this zone → temporary relief bounce

If it fails → we’ll likely see full test of Central Zone or lower demand levels

🟩 3. Central Zone – The MMC Decision Area
The Central Zone is a key horizontal level on your chart, defined between ~$117,300 and ~$118,200. This zone is marked based on:

Previous structure

Volume clusters

Demand imbalance

Why is this zone important?

It serves as the balance point between buyers and sellers.

A bullish reaction here could re-initiate a move toward Minor Resistance (~$119,200).

A failure to hold could open the door for deeper retracement toward the green demand box (~$117,200 or below).

🔄 4. Two Primary MMC-Based Conditions to Watch:
✅ Condition 1: Bounce from Central Zone
Price reacts from within the Central Zone

Forms bullish structure (double bottom, bullish engulfing, or reversal wick)

Short-term target becomes Minor Resistance (~$119,200)

If volume increases and price breaks above Minor, continuation toward Major is possible

❌ Condition 2: Breakdown & Bearish Continuation
Price fails to hold within Central Zone

Bearish structure forms (e.g. lower highs, breakdown candles)

Clean move expected toward next liquidity pocket at $117,200–$116,800

This would confirm market shifting into bearish control

📌 5. Minor vs Major Levels – Key Zones
Minor Resistance (~$119,200): Short-term target if bounce occurs

Major Resistance (~$120,400): Liquidity sweep zone, strong supply

Green Demand Box (~$117,200): If Central Zone fails, this becomes next bounce zone

📘 Final Thoughts:
This is a classic MMC setup in real-time:

Curve Formed → Broke

OFL + Central Zone → Now being tested

Next move depends on confirmation from buyers or sellers at Central Zone

Don’t trade emotionally — let price action give you confirmation before taking any positions. Watch the Central Zone behavior closely and manage risk based on scenario outcomes.

Disclaimer

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