Bitcoin

BTC/USD 1D Chart

82
📊 1. Technical formation: Downtrend channel marked with orange lines

Upper trend line (resistance): ~108,200 – 110,000 USD

Lower trend line (support): ~98,455 – 97,000 USD

➡️ Such a formation usually ends with a breakout. The direction of the breakout will be key – currently, the price is testing the upper resistance line.

💵 2. Support and resistance levels
📈 Resistance:
108.202 – currently tested

112.037 – psychological level

114.816 – local top

📉 Support:
105.300 – SMA 50 + local support

103.424 – local lows

100.510 – key psychological support

98.455 – lower edge of the triangle

📉 3. Moving averages (SMA)
SMA 50 (green): currently as dynamic support (~105.300)

SMA 200 (blue): far below the price (~96.000), inactive in the short term

SMA 20 (red): price broke through it upwards – a signal of bullish strength

➡️ A bullish crossover took place between SMA 20 and SMA 50 → bullish signal.

📉 4. MACD (Momentum)
MACD line is approaching the intersection with the signal line from below.

The histogram is becoming less and less red → a potential intersection and a bullish crossover signal may occur any day now.

📉 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently: 57.19

RSI is rising and approaching the overbought zone (70), but it is not overheated yet.

Exceeding 60 would be a signal of further bullish strength.

🔍 6. Volume and context
There is no volume marking on the candles, but:

The current bullish candle is strong and breaks through the key averages (SMA 20, 50).

This indicates buyer activity with technical support.

🟢 Bullish scenario (if a breakout occurs up)
A breakout above 108.200 with a close of the daily candle could open the way to:

112.037 (next resistance)

then even 114.816

🔴 Bearish scenario (false breakout)
A rejection from 108.200 and a drop below 105.300 → a possible return to:

103.424 or even 98.455 (lower triangle line)

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