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Has Bitcoin Topped? Trump’s SBR Impact | Deep Dive Analysis

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🚨Has BTCUSD topped? Even with Trump's Bitcoin Strategic Reserve? 🚨

In this deep dive, we analyze BTCUSD major factors that could point to a major reversal or breakout and to uncover whether a market top is forming.


We’ll cover:
  1. Powerful Indicators
  2. Bitcoin / BTC Trends
  3. Price Action
  4. EMA / SMA Trends
  5. Volume Delta
  6. Trend reversal / breakout
  7. Bullish / Bearish / Confirmation from Indicators
  8. order flow analysis
  9. Timeframes (1W, 1D, 1m, 6M etc.)
  10. Bullish and Bearish Sentiment
  11. Strength Candles


👉 Like, comment below, and follow for more pro-level crypto insights.

MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on BTCUSD .


Whether you're a short-term trader or long-term investor, this post provides the technical insight and edge to help you make better informed decisions.

📉 Stay ahead of the market. Watch the full breakdown and view charts to decide for yourself: Has Bitcoin really topped?

Watch video for more details and below I will show some powerful charts with descriptions.

Warning in near term - LARGE ORDERS
snapshot
  • Consolidation in price with large orders above
  • The Red lines = LARGE ORDERS
  • Large orders can act as an magnet to price
  • Large orders can also be support and resistance


Price Above the white 100 moving average
snapshot
  • Price strong above it
  • Price weak below it


Strength Candles
snapshot
  • Still Bullish
  • Multiple timeframes still green


Sentiment Tool Still Bullish
snapshot
  • Still Bullish
  • Multiple timeframes and settings still green


3 Drive Structure
Equal Measured moves

snapshot
  • Implies Top Is Not In
  • Target = $126k


Bullish Engulfing Candle
snapshot
  • Implies higher prices to come




👉 Like, comment below, and follow for more pro-level crypto insights.

#Bitcoin #Trump #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #BitcoinTop #TradingView #StrategicBitcoinReserve









Trade active
snapshot This is how BTC topped last bull market. How will it top this time ?
Trade closed: target reached
snapshot Equal Measured Moves Trading Strategy (EMM)

Also known as “Measured Move Extensions” or “A-B=C-D” pattern
🔍 What Is It?

Equal Measured Moves is a price-based symmetry strategy where traders anticipate that a second leg (impulse) of a move will replicate the length and momentum of the first leg. The market tends to move in waves, and this strategy leverages the idea that price often mirrors itself during trending or corrective phases.
AB = CD in length

CD ideally mimics the angle/slope of AB

Often used in trend continuation and exhaustion zones

🧭 How Institutions Use Equal Measured Moves:
🏦 1. Liquidity Engineering

Institutions often use the EMM structure to build liquidity traps:

AB leg initiates momentum and triggers retail interest

BC pullback invites short-term fading trades

CD leg completes the projection and often runs liquidity stops beyond A or B, where retail traders have clustered stops

📊 2. Algorithmic Trade Structuring

Many institutional algos are programmed to recognize EMM zones and execute partial profit-taking or risk-on entries around:

Fib confluences (e.g., 100%, 127.2%, 161.8% extensions)

Volume clusters or imbalance fills

Previous liquidity voids that align with D point

🧱 3. Risk-Managed Scaling

Institutions prefer structures where the reward-to-risk ratio is mathematically defined.
EMM gives them:

A clear distance for potential profit (AB length)

A definable stop-loss (beneath B or C depending on entry)

✅ Entry Techniques:

Enter on breakout of point B or point C

Use confirmation from RSI/MACD continuation, volume spike, or EMA alignment

Some traders wait for retest at 0.618 retracement of AB to enter early

🎯 Target Zones:

First target: 1.0 extension (AB = CD)

Secondary targets: 127.2% or 161.8% extension of AB

Institutions often close bulk of size just above equal move to avoid crowd exits

❗ Common Enhancements:

Combine with supply/demand zones or order blocks

Validate structure using multiple timeframes

Use divergence filters to avoid entering on final legs of a trend

💡 Summary:

The Equal Measured Moves strategy is a time-tested price symmetry model favored by both retail and institutional traders. Its precision and repeatability make it ideal for forecasting extensions in trends — especially when supported by volume or structural confirmation.

Institutions may not call it "EMM" outright, but their execution desks often operate around these mathematically-driven projections, hunting liquidity and exploiting price symmetry.

Note
Remember we are 2 days away from a new quarter.
🔄 New Quarter = New Capital Rotation

At the start of every quarter (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4), institutional investors — including hedge funds, asset managers, and large banks — often rebalance portfolios, rotate capital, and adjust risk based on macroeconomic data, earnings, or central bank expectations.

This shift can lead to:

Surging trends in underweighted sectors

Profit-taking on previous quarter’s winners

Volatility spikes as liquidity gets reallocated

In forex, quarters often align with central bank reports, interest rate guidance, and interbank rebalancing, creating clean swing setups.

In crypto, quarterly opens mark derivatives rollovers, VC unlocks, and stablecoin flows, which can ignite new bull/bear legs.

If you're watching price action into the start of a new quarter, you're watching where the big money is heading next.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.