Bitcoin
Long

Market next move

113

1. Overreliance on Basic Support/Resistance

Issue: The analysis uses a simple support/resistance concept without clear validation (e.g., no multiple touches or volume confirmation).

Disruption: Support could easily break if there's insufficient volume or strong bearish sentiment, invalidating the buy signal.



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2. Lack of Confirmation Indicators

Issue: There's no use of confirmation tools like RSI, MACD, or moving averages.

Disruption: Entering a "Buy" based purely on support without a reversal signal (like bullish divergence or candle patterns) increases risk.



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3. Premature Target Setting

Issue: The target is drawn quickly after a minor dip, with no fib levels, pivot points, or historical resistance considered.

Disruption: The price might face resistance before reaching the “Target,” especially around previous highs or psychological levels.



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4. Ignoring Downside Risk

Issue: The scenario assumes price will bounce back but doesn’t show a stop-loss or contingency for a breakdown.

Disruption: If price breaks the "Support" zone, it could trigger a stronger bearish move—this risk is not accounted for.



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5. Misleading Arrows

Issue: Arrows (red, yellow, blue) seem speculative and oversimplified.

Disruption: They imply a clear path, which can mislead traders into thinking price action follows linear logic—real markets are more chaotic.

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