Bitcoin
Long

BTCUSD Daily Analysis – Golden Pocket Hold Before a Bullish?

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🧠 Chart Description & Market Structure:

The BTCUSD daily chart is showing a consolidation phase after forming a local high near $123,231. Currently, the price is retracing and approaching a key Fibonacci retracement zone between the 0.5 level ($115,557) and 0.618 level ($113,740) — also known as the Golden Pocket, which is often a strong reversal area.


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📈 Bullish Scenario:

If the price holds within or just above the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone (highlighted in yellow) and forms a bullish reversal candlestick (like a hammer, bullish engulfing, or pin bar), there’s a high probability for BTC to resume its uptrend.

Bullish upside targets include:

$119,842 as minor resistance.

$123,231 as the previous swing high and a key breakout confirmation.

A successful break above $123,231 could send BTC toward the next major targets around $128K–$132K.


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📉 Bearish Scenario:

If the price fails to hold the 0.618 Fibonacci level ($113,740) and breaks down below the key psychological support at $111,500, a deeper correction may occur.

Downside targets:

$108K–$106K as the next major support zone.

A break below this could lead to the formation of a lower high structure and potentially trigger a bearish continuation.


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📊 Pattern Observations:

Potential Bullish Flag or Rectangle Consolidation: The price action suggests horizontal consolidation after a strong rally — possibly a re-accumulation zone before a bullish continuation.

Golden Pocket Retest: Price is currently testing the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 zone, often targeted by institutional buyers and technical traders as a potential entry point.

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🧭 Key Levels to Watch:

Major Resistance: $123,231 (swing high)

Minor Resistance: $119,842

Fibonacci 0.5: $115,557

Fibonacci 0.618: $113,740

Key Support: $111,500


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🔖 Conclusion:

BTC is currently in a decision zone. Price action within the $115,500–$113,700 range will be crucial. Will this be a healthy retracement before the next leg up — or the beginning of a deeper correction?

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