Bitcoin

BTC/USD 1D Chart

159
🔼 Resistance:
• USD 123,263 - local peak, strong resistance (green line)
• USD 119,120 - level tested several times, recent reflection
• 116,224 USD - zone of previous consolidations

🔽 support:
• 110,945 USD - SMA #2 (movable average), tested in the past
• 107,804 USD - local hole
• USD 103,542 - strong support from the past (historical retention of declines)



📊 Technical indicators

📉 Trend:
• The yellow upward trend line has been broken - a potential bull weakness signal.
• The candle pierces the trend line from the bottom - it is possible to change the direction to a side or downward trend.

📈 Medium walking (SMA):
• The red SMA #1 line acted as dynamic resistance.
• The price is currently testing SMA #2 as support.
• SMA #5 (blue, approx. 98,600 USD) is very strong long -term support.

📉 Macd:
• The MacD line is below the signal line → Bear signal (Bearish).
• Red histogram - inheritance impetus is growing.

📉 RSI:
• RSI has fallen below the level of 50 → the advantage of supply.
• Currently, it is approaching the supply of supply overload (<30), which can herald the technical reflection.



🔮 Scenarios

✅ Scenario Bycza (Bullish):
• Maintenance of a price above 110.945 USD (SMA #2).
• Return above the trend line or testing USD 116,224 and piercing up.

❌ Bear scenario (Bearish):
• Loss of support to 110.945 USD → decrease to USD 107,800.
• If this does not keep the course, the next strong level is USD 103,500.



🧠 Applications:
• Short -term: the market looks weak, the candle breaks the upward trend.
• Medium -term: still in the game, but if it does not reflect from the current levels, a greater correction is possible.
• Commercial decisions: It is worth waiting for confirmation of the direction (reflection from support or continuation of declines).

Disclaimer

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