📊 BTCUSDT – Absorption in progress, swing high targeted before a potential dump?
Price is moving in a clean bullish structure with a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS),
but under the surface, we can clearly see signs of absorption, which could signal an upcoming reversal.
📈 Open Interest is rising sharply
🟢 CVD Futures & Spot are both rising → real buying pressure
🔴 Funding remains negative
📊 85% of open positions are longs
🐋 Top traders are massively short
🧱 ➤ Clear absorption: price goes up… but someone is selling into it hard
🎯 Current hypothesis:
🧠 Longs are being absorbed,
suggesting a short-term rejection is likely,
but before that, price might push higher toward the swing high (92.5–93.5k) to:
Hunt liquidity
Trigger stop losses
Finalize the short trap
📌 Trade plan:
✅ Spike above the swing high
✅ Final absorption / wick trap
✅ Dump back into the Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6%)
❗ Rule: don’t front-run – wait for confirmation:
Sharp rejection after the spike
Spot CVD divergence
Loss of structure + drop in OI
⚖️ The market is tense.
We are likely between the top of absorption… and the beginning of the flush.
Stay patient. Watch closely. Only act on clear confirmation.
🔽Fr🔽
📊 BTCUSDT – Absorption en cours
Le prix évolue dans une structure haussière propre avec un Break of Structure (BOS) validé,
mais les dessous du marché révèlent une absorption nette, qui pourrait annoncer un retournement.
📈 Open Interest en forte hausse
🟢 CVD Futures & Spot haussiers → pression acheteuse réelle
🔴 Funding négatif persistant
📊 85 % de longues sur le marché (Kingfisher)
🐋 Top traders en short massif
🧱 ➤ Absorption claire : le prix monte… mais la contrepartie absorbe tout
🎯 Hypothèse actuelle :
🧠 Une absorption des longs est en cours,
ce qui laisse penser qu’un rejet est probable à court terme,
mais avant cela, le marché pourrait encore pousser vers le swing high (92.5–93.5k) pour :
Chercher la liquidité
Déclencher les stops vendeurs
Finir le short trap
📌 Plan envisagé :
✅ Spike au-dessus du swing high
✅ Absorption finale / mèche piégeuse
✅ Dump en direction de la Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6 %)
❗ Règle : ne pas anticiper – attendre confirmation :
Rejet brutal après le spike
Divergence CVD Spot
Perte de structure + chute OI
⚖️ Le marché est tendu.
On est probablement entre le haut de l’absorption… et le début de la purge.
Rester patient. Observer. Agir sur signal propre.
Price is moving in a clean bullish structure with a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS),
but under the surface, we can clearly see signs of absorption, which could signal an upcoming reversal.
📈 Open Interest is rising sharply
🟢 CVD Futures & Spot are both rising → real buying pressure
🔴 Funding remains negative
📊 85% of open positions are longs
🐋 Top traders are massively short
🧱 ➤ Clear absorption: price goes up… but someone is selling into it hard
🎯 Current hypothesis:
🧠 Longs are being absorbed,
suggesting a short-term rejection is likely,
but before that, price might push higher toward the swing high (92.5–93.5k) to:
Hunt liquidity
Trigger stop losses
Finalize the short trap
📌 Trade plan:
✅ Spike above the swing high
✅ Final absorption / wick trap
✅ Dump back into the Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6%)
❗ Rule: don’t front-run – wait for confirmation:
Sharp rejection after the spike
Spot CVD divergence
Loss of structure + drop in OI
⚖️ The market is tense.
We are likely between the top of absorption… and the beginning of the flush.
Stay patient. Watch closely. Only act on clear confirmation.
🔽Fr🔽
📊 BTCUSDT – Absorption en cours
Le prix évolue dans une structure haussière propre avec un Break of Structure (BOS) validé,
mais les dessous du marché révèlent une absorption nette, qui pourrait annoncer un retournement.
📈 Open Interest en forte hausse
🟢 CVD Futures & Spot haussiers → pression acheteuse réelle
🔴 Funding négatif persistant
📊 85 % de longues sur le marché (Kingfisher)
🐋 Top traders en short massif
🧱 ➤ Absorption claire : le prix monte… mais la contrepartie absorbe tout
🎯 Hypothèse actuelle :
🧠 Une absorption des longs est en cours,
ce qui laisse penser qu’un rejet est probable à court terme,
mais avant cela, le marché pourrait encore pousser vers le swing high (92.5–93.5k) pour :
Chercher la liquidité
Déclencher les stops vendeurs
Finir le short trap
📌 Plan envisagé :
✅ Spike au-dessus du swing high
✅ Absorption finale / mèche piégeuse
✅ Dump en direction de la Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6 %)
❗ Règle : ne pas anticiper – attendre confirmation :
Rejet brutal après le spike
Divergence CVD Spot
Perte de structure + chute OI
⚖️ Le marché est tendu.
On est probablement entre le haut de l’absorption… et le début de la purge.
Rester patient. Observer. Agir sur signal propre.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.