Scenario 1 – Direct Upside Move
BTC holds current mid-channel structure and builds momentum.
A push toward $134,000 comes first, driven by bullish sentiment and strong inflows.
After the rally, possible rejection sends BTC back down to retest $100,000 before any continuation.
This path suggests an earlier breakout, followed by a mid-cycle correction.
Scenario 2 – Deeper Correction Before Final Rally
BTC breaks lower within the channel, sliding toward $94,000.
A wick to $90,500 may form, testing major horizontal support and channel base.
This coincides with the September 2025 Fed rate cuts, which could provide the macro catalyst for reversal.
From there, BTC rebounds sharply, igniting a strong year-end rally toward $134,000.
This second scenario may align more closely with macro timing, where policy easing sparks the next leg higher.
Conclusion:
Both scenarios project $134k as the next major upside target. The path differs:
Either a direct move with a later retest of $100k (Scenario 1).
Or a final deeper flush to $90–94k before the September rate cuts, then a powerful year-end rally (Scenario 2).
BTC holds current mid-channel structure and builds momentum.
A push toward $134,000 comes first, driven by bullish sentiment and strong inflows.
After the rally, possible rejection sends BTC back down to retest $100,000 before any continuation.
This path suggests an earlier breakout, followed by a mid-cycle correction.
Scenario 2 – Deeper Correction Before Final Rally
BTC breaks lower within the channel, sliding toward $94,000.
A wick to $90,500 may form, testing major horizontal support and channel base.
This coincides with the September 2025 Fed rate cuts, which could provide the macro catalyst for reversal.
From there, BTC rebounds sharply, igniting a strong year-end rally toward $134,000.
This second scenario may align more closely with macro timing, where policy easing sparks the next leg higher.
Conclusion:
Both scenarios project $134k as the next major upside target. The path differs:
Either a direct move with a later retest of $100k (Scenario 1).
Or a final deeper flush to $90–94k before the September rate cuts, then a powerful year-end rally (Scenario 2).
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.