On the chart, you can clearly see the similarities between the last cycle and the current one.
First, this cycle is already longer, so I don’t expect another top in 2026, as some are suggesting.
Based on my analysis, we are currently in the equivalent stage of the last cycle where two strong monthly candles appeared before the market dropped into a bear phase.
Why is this happening?
We are resetting the weekly MACD — it's at the bottom and needs to push into overbought territory before it can turn down alongside the monthly MACD.
As shown in the chart, the monthly MACD is close to turning bearish. If the weekly MACD also flips bearish, that could mark the end of the bull market.
Additionally, volume is dropping, and the RSI supports this scenario. It looks like we’re setting up for one last pump, just like last time — likely followed by a rejection in 2 months.
📊 Check the chart — I’ve laid it out as clearly as possible.
💬 If you agree or disagree, let’s discuss in the comments!
🧠 DYOR — Do Your Own Research!
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #MACD #RSI #CryptoCycle #BullMarket #BearMarket #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR #Altcoins #MarketUpdate #CryptoCommunity #Cryptocurrency
First, this cycle is already longer, so I don’t expect another top in 2026, as some are suggesting.
Based on my analysis, we are currently in the equivalent stage of the last cycle where two strong monthly candles appeared before the market dropped into a bear phase.
Why is this happening?
We are resetting the weekly MACD — it's at the bottom and needs to push into overbought territory before it can turn down alongside the monthly MACD.
As shown in the chart, the monthly MACD is close to turning bearish. If the weekly MACD also flips bearish, that could mark the end of the bull market.
Additionally, volume is dropping, and the RSI supports this scenario. It looks like we’re setting up for one last pump, just like last time — likely followed by a rejection in 2 months.
📊 Check the chart — I’ve laid it out as clearly as possible.
💬 If you agree or disagree, let’s discuss in the comments!
🧠 DYOR — Do Your Own Research!
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #MACD #RSI #CryptoCycle #BullMarket #BearMarket #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR #Altcoins #MarketUpdate #CryptoCommunity #Cryptocurrency
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Twitter X: x.com/cryptonikkoid
Web: nikkoid.com
I do not answer to private messages. Use the comment section of the idea or script, or use Telegram.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Telegram: t.me/cryptonikkoid
Twitter X: x.com/cryptonikkoid
Web: nikkoid.com
I do not answer to private messages. Use the comment section of the idea or script, or use Telegram.
Twitter X: x.com/cryptonikkoid
Web: nikkoid.com
I do not answer to private messages. Use the comment section of the idea or script, or use Telegram.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.