Bitcoin and the Potential Move to $136,000 based on my price action +sma+ema advanced strategy.
Current Market Context
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near all-time highs, recently surpassing $117,000-118000
The market is characterized by strong institutional inflows, robust ETF demand, and bullish technical momentum.
Is a Move to $136,000 Possible?
Analyst and Model Forecasts
Bitwise Asset Management and several market analysts see a 30% rally possible in July, which could push Bitcoin to the $136,000 level. This projection is based on:
Historical post-crisis rallies (average 31% gains after macro/geopolitical shocks).
Institutions buying more BTC than miners can supply.
Global rate cuts increasing liquidity and risk appetite.
Quantitative models and technical forecasters also predict a range between $136,000 and $143,000 as a potential 2025 high, with some models extending targets to $151,000 and beyond.
Other major banks and analysts (e.g., Standard Chartered, Bernstein, Fundstrat) maintain even higher year-end targets ($150,000–$200,000), but $136,000 is seen as a key intermediate technical and psychological level.
Technical Analysis
Bullish momentum is confirmed across short, medium, and long-term timeframes.
Key resistance levels to watch: $120,000 (psychological), $130,000 (round number), and $136,000 (target zone highlighted by several analysts).
Sustained trading above $112,000–$118,000 would support a move toward $130,000–$136,000, especially if ETF inflows and institutional demand remain strong.
Drivers Supporting the $136K Scenario
ETF and Institutional Inflows: Demand from US spot Bitcoin ETFs and corporate treasuries remains robust.
Macro Tailwinds: Expectations of US Federal Reserve rate cuts and a weakening dollar are fueling risk-on sentiment.
Supply Dynamics: The recent Bitcoin halving has reduced miner supply, amplifying the impact of new demand.
Technical Breakouts: Bull flag and breakout patterns suggest further upside, with $136,000 cited as a technical extension target.
Risks and Considerations
Volatility: Bitcoin remains highly volatile; sharp pullbacks are possible even in a strong uptrend.
Regulatory and Macro Risks: Changes in regulatory stance or a major shift in macro conditions could impact the trajectory.
Profit-Taking: Approaching major round numbers like $130,000 or $136,000 could trigger profit-taking and temporary corrections.
Summary Table: Bitcoin 2025 Price Targets
Source/Model 2025 Target Range $136K Move Outlook
Bitwise, Polymarket $136,000 (July 2025) High probability if current trends persist
Coinfomania AI Model Up to $143,440 $136K within model range
Investing Haven $80,840–$151,150 $136K within bullish scenario
Changelly, CoinDCX $100,000–$150,000 $136K is a key resistance
Standard Chartered $120,000–$200,000 $136K as a stepping stone
Conclusion
A move to $136,000 for Bitcoin is considered plausible in 2025 by my market structure advanced strategy , This scenario is supported by strong institutional demand, favorable macro conditions, and bullish technical patterns. However, volatility and macro/regulatory risks remain, so price action should be monitored closely as BTC approaches key resistance levels at 120k and 136k level
#bitcoin #btc
Current Market Context
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near all-time highs, recently surpassing $117,000-118000
The market is characterized by strong institutional inflows, robust ETF demand, and bullish technical momentum.
Is a Move to $136,000 Possible?
Analyst and Model Forecasts
Bitwise Asset Management and several market analysts see a 30% rally possible in July, which could push Bitcoin to the $136,000 level. This projection is based on:
Historical post-crisis rallies (average 31% gains after macro/geopolitical shocks).
Institutions buying more BTC than miners can supply.
Global rate cuts increasing liquidity and risk appetite.
Quantitative models and technical forecasters also predict a range between $136,000 and $143,000 as a potential 2025 high, with some models extending targets to $151,000 and beyond.
Other major banks and analysts (e.g., Standard Chartered, Bernstein, Fundstrat) maintain even higher year-end targets ($150,000–$200,000), but $136,000 is seen as a key intermediate technical and psychological level.
Technical Analysis
Bullish momentum is confirmed across short, medium, and long-term timeframes.
Key resistance levels to watch: $120,000 (psychological), $130,000 (round number), and $136,000 (target zone highlighted by several analysts).
Sustained trading above $112,000–$118,000 would support a move toward $130,000–$136,000, especially if ETF inflows and institutional demand remain strong.
Drivers Supporting the $136K Scenario
ETF and Institutional Inflows: Demand from US spot Bitcoin ETFs and corporate treasuries remains robust.
Macro Tailwinds: Expectations of US Federal Reserve rate cuts and a weakening dollar are fueling risk-on sentiment.
Supply Dynamics: The recent Bitcoin halving has reduced miner supply, amplifying the impact of new demand.
Technical Breakouts: Bull flag and breakout patterns suggest further upside, with $136,000 cited as a technical extension target.
Risks and Considerations
Volatility: Bitcoin remains highly volatile; sharp pullbacks are possible even in a strong uptrend.
Regulatory and Macro Risks: Changes in regulatory stance or a major shift in macro conditions could impact the trajectory.
Profit-Taking: Approaching major round numbers like $130,000 or $136,000 could trigger profit-taking and temporary corrections.
Summary Table: Bitcoin 2025 Price Targets
Source/Model 2025 Target Range $136K Move Outlook
Bitwise, Polymarket $136,000 (July 2025) High probability if current trends persist
Coinfomania AI Model Up to $143,440 $136K within model range
Investing Haven $80,840–$151,150 $136K within bullish scenario
Changelly, CoinDCX $100,000–$150,000 $136K is a key resistance
Standard Chartered $120,000–$200,000 $136K as a stepping stone
Conclusion
A move to $136,000 for Bitcoin is considered plausible in 2025 by my market structure advanced strategy , This scenario is supported by strong institutional demand, favorable macro conditions, and bullish technical patterns. However, volatility and macro/regulatory risks remain, so price action should be monitored closely as BTC approaches key resistance levels at 120k and 136k level
#bitcoin #btc
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.