After a confirmed breakdown from both the ascending trendline and the horizontal support near $110,000, BTCUSDT has entered a bearish phase. However, the projected green candles in your forecast suggest a long-term recovery structure—a potential accumulation phase, followed by a breakout cycle toward a new all-time high at $310K.
📈 Long-Term Phases in the Projection:
1. Phase One: Capitulation & Accumulation (~$65K–$90K)
2. Phase Two: Recovery & Structure Break (~$105K–$110K reclaim)
3. Phase Three: Expansion Phase ($110K → $180K)
4. Phase Four: Mid-Cycle Reaccumulation (~$180K–$210K)
5. Phase Five: Parabolic Rally to $310K
🔍 Key Technical Conditions to Watch:
📈 Long-Term Phases in the Projection:
1. Phase One: Capitulation & Accumulation (~$65K–$90K)
- BTC breaks down below $100K, potentially finding support between $65K and $90K.
- This becomes a classic accumulation zone, where smart money begins to position.
- Volatility decreases, and price action flattens while volume builds.
2. Phase Two: Recovery & Structure Break (~$105K–$110K reclaim)
- Price reclaims the broken support at $105K–$110K, now acting as resistance.
- A successful flip of this level into support signals the start of a new bullish cycle.
- Market sentiment starts to shift from fear to cautious optimism.
3. Phase Three: Expansion Phase ($110K → $180K)
- Once past $110K, BTC enters a momentum-driven rally.
- Important psychological levels like $120K, $150K, and $180K are reached.
- Institutions and retail FOMO begin re-entering the market.
4. Phase Four: Mid-Cycle Reaccumulation (~$180K–$210K)
- BTC consolidates in a wide range, forming a reaccumulation base.
- This becomes the launchpad for the final parabolic leg upward.
- Market disbelief turns into euphoria.
5. Phase Five: Parabolic Rally to $310K
- Once $230K–$250K resistance is cleared, BTC enters parabolic mode.
- Targeting the macro top at $310,000, aligning with a future cycle peak (likely post-halving cycle).
- Could happen within 12–24 months, depending on macro and cycle momentum.
🔍 Key Technical Conditions to Watch:
- Successful reclaim of $110K on high timeframe (weekly close)
- Formation of a higher low above $90K
- Volume confirmation during breakout of $150K and $180K
- Break and hold above $230K confirms macro breakout
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.