Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – 4H Technical Outlook
📅 Update: June 18, 2025
🧭 Current Market Status:
Bitcoin is currently trading around $105,296, sitting in a tight consolidation above key support ($104K). The price has respected both demand and supply zones over the past few sessions but remains sensitive to macro-driven events, especially geopolitical instability.
We can clearly see BTC is caught between strong support around $100K–102K and resistance around $108K–110K, awaiting a directional break.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance Zones (Red):
Support Zones (Green):
🔺 Scenario 1: No US-Iran War (Bullish Case)
If no escalation occurs:
🟢 Look for breakout candle + volume confirmation above $108K.
🔻 Scenario 2: US-Iran War Escalates (Bearish Case)
If military conflict breaks out:
🔻 BTC has historically struggled during initial shock of war-related uncertainty.
🔁 Neutral/Bounce Scenario:
🛡️ Risk Management Notes:
BTC remains headline-driven — adjust position size based on volatility spikes.
If trading directionally, place tight SLs below key support or above resistance, depending on side.
Consider hedging with stablecoins or options if holding long-term spot.
📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
📅 Update: June 18, 2025
🧭 Current Market Status:
Bitcoin is currently trading around $105,296, sitting in a tight consolidation above key support ($104K). The price has respected both demand and supply zones over the past few sessions but remains sensitive to macro-driven events, especially geopolitical instability.
We can clearly see BTC is caught between strong support around $100K–102K and resistance around $108K–110K, awaiting a directional break.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance Zones (Red):
$108K–110K – intraday resistance block
$112K – short-term breakout target
$114K–116K – final bullish extension zone
Support Zones (Green):
$102K–104K – immediate demand
$100K – psychological round number + previous breakout base
$98K / $96K / $94K – downside targets if panic sets in
🔺 Scenario 1: No US-Iran War (Bullish Case)
If no escalation occurs:
BTC could bounce from current support or even dip to $102K before pushing higher.
A clean break above $108K may trigger a move toward $112K and then $114K–116K.
Stochastic shows bullish divergence forming (see trendline), supporting a possible upside breakout if momentum strengthens.
🟢 Look for breakout candle + volume confirmation above $108K.
🔻 Scenario 2: US-Iran War Escalates (Bearish Case)
If military conflict breaks out:
Safe-haven rotation may favor cash or gold short-term; BTC could lose traction.
Breakdown below $102K may lead to panic drop toward $98K, followed by potential flush into $94K.
Watch for failure to hold $100K — this would mark a major shift in sentiment.
🔻 BTC has historically struggled during initial shock of war-related uncertainty.
🔁 Neutral/Bounce Scenario:
If price holds $104K–102K range but no major trigger emerges, expect sideways consolidation.
Traders can scalp range levels until a confirmed breakout or breakdown.
🛡️ Risk Management Notes:
BTC remains headline-driven — adjust position size based on volatility spikes.
If trading directionally, place tight SLs below key support or above resistance, depending on side.
Consider hedging with stablecoins or options if holding long-term spot.
📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.