BTC Market Update by SatochiTrader
EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND.
Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash.
This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well.
We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections.
A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't.
The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview.
This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC.
Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND.
Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash.
This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well.
We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections.
A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't.
The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview.
This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC.
Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
Note
BTC did end the cycle in this area, and did not meet the cycle rule of 1.2 time frame to enter new cycle, on this reason also BTC has high chance to return back below 100KEvery BTC cycle did confirm the 1.2 time frame, and we expect this should also, what not happen, which means that this is a false increase trend that can return asp to the start point.
Note
Note
Based on our analysis using the 1.2 timeframe and cycle data, our primary expectation is that BTC will drop below $100K. Although BTC currently appears strong within the 1.2 data window, we are approaching the end of a cycle — with no confirmation of a new one starting.This suggests that the current long volume may be misleading — a potential false signal — and could lead to a renewed downtrend, pushing BTC below the $100K level. Hedge funds and major whales should pay close attention to the 1.2 pattern, as it has historically repeated itself with BTC.
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HERE IS AN EXPLANATION IN 10% VIEW. Note
BTC looks very bullish and green, but the deep data shows what else.Note
Creating false volume is the best way to change the trend. All BTC crash views happened after green false volume.
Note
Which means over 3H +-
Note
The same theory about false volume, we have seen more times on high levels and low time frames as thisNote
BTC is at the top. The coming time is important after the end of cycle 2025.
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ALL UPDATES ARE NOT TRADING ADVICE AND ONLY SCENARIOS ALL is POSSIBLE IN THE MARKET
🟡New telegram channel for free updates
t.me/SatochiTraderoriginal
ALL UPDATES ARE NOT TRADING ADVICE AND ONLY SCENARIOS ALL is POSSIBLE IN THE MARKET
🟡New telegram channel for free updates
t.me/SatochiTraderoriginal
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
❤️Follow the channel For daily updates
ALL UPDATES ARE NOT TRADING ADVICE AND ONLY SCENARIOS ALL is POSSIBLE IN THE MARKET
🟡New telegram channel for free updates
t.me/SatochiTraderoriginal
ALL UPDATES ARE NOT TRADING ADVICE AND ONLY SCENARIOS ALL is POSSIBLE IN THE MARKET
🟡New telegram channel for free updates
t.me/SatochiTraderoriginal
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.