WTI OIL broke below the 4H MA200. Bearish confirmation.

618
This is an update to our WTI Oil (USOIL) post published last week, as our sell signal was confirmed:

WTI OIL Sell Signal and invalidation level


The price broke below both the (dashed) Higher Lows trend-line and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and following the Rejection on the August Resistance Zone and the pricing of the new Lower High on the Channel Down since June, we can now expect at least a test of the previous Low at 76.30. A break above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) shouldn't invalidate that.

In our opinion technically only a 1D candle closing above the August Resistance Zone will be a bullish break-out signal (aimed at the 0.786 Fib), which now will be a break above both the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. We can start considering booking the sell and instead open a lower buy position when the 4H RSI breaks into its multi-month Support Zone. As you see, such RSI rebounds have always hit the 4H MA50 at least.



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