Coinbase Global
Long
Updated

Is COIN continuing its upMove?

285
We believe that order flow determines everything that we observe on a price chart; e.g. price momentum, price trend, price relative strength, price patterns, price structures, ... .

With this said, we also believe that smart/institutional money drives the order flow that create the price momentum, price trend, price relative strength, price patterns, price structures, ... that we see repetitively in the price charts of the liquid securities that we use for our financial positions.

For example, on Jan 6 2025, COIN's price flashed that the Dec 2024 low was a significant low. Significant lows, are lows where the dominant order flow shifted from selling to buying.

Today, once again, COIN's price flashes that the upReversal, which started from the Dec 2024 low on Dec 31 2024 marks a significant low; especially since the close of Jan 13 2025 is above the low of Dec 31 2024.

COIN's price upMomentum supports the Jan 6 2025 upReversal & the Jan 15 2025 upContinuance.

With this said, we understand that what a price charts shows at this moment can shift with the next price bar. To protect us from the uncertainty of the next price bar and the shifting momentum, relative strength, price patterns, price structures, ... , we use risk management guidelines and money control rules to prevent shifts from ruining our portfolio/financial account balances.

Our idea is to open an upMove position on COIN today near the close of the day. We will setup what we refer to as an In/Out Option upLadder. In/Out describes the spread that we establish: buy the option that is just in the money & sell the option that is just out of the money to create the In/Out spread. To create the ladder we select options that expire on the next three Fridays: 17th, 24th, & 31st.

For Example:
Time▲ Side Pos Effect Qty Symbol Desc Price TIF Mark Net Prc Status Account
1/15/25, 12:14:16 PM BUY 1 COIN Vertical (2d) 272.5/275 1.25 LIMIT Day 1.2 1.15 FILLED margin
1/15/25, 12:14:25 PM BUY 1 COIN Vertical (9d) 272.5/275 1.23 LIMIT Day 1.15 1.2 FILLED margin
1/15/25, 12:14:33 PM BUY 1 COIN Vertical (16d) 272.5/275 1.20 LIMIT Day 1.1 1.15 FILLED margin

Each of these positions have the possibility of achieving 100% return. It is prudent to plan for a ROR less that 100%, however it is possible. Also, note that price does not have to move that far to achieve a great return. These option ladders often hit there targets withing the first or second week.

This information is not presented as financial advice. This is just our attempt at sharing ideas about consistently profiting from financial markets.

Note
Results from the position described above:
1/17/25, 9:31:09 AM SELL -1 COIN Vertical (0d) 272.5/275 2.50 FILLED > ROR = 117.39%

1/17/25, 9:32:03 AM SELL -1 COIN Vertical (7d) 272.5/275 2.50 FILLED > ROR = 108.33%

1/17/25, 10:32:36 AM SELL -1 COIN Vertical (14d) 272.5/275 2.70 FILLED > ROR = 134.78%

This is the beauty of the In/Out Option Ladder is that sometimes 1 or more position hits the exit target together. Also, as noted above all 3 spreads returned more than 100% in 2-days.

These winnings could easily be rolled into another ladder using COIN!
Trade active
See the note above.
This position hit its target of $2.45 per spread during the Friday, 01.17.2025, trading sessions.

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