COOKIE DAO / TETHER
Long

COOKIE/USDT on the Verge of a Breakout? Descending Triangle

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📊 Complete Technical Analysis

COOKIE/USDT has been forming a classic Descending Triangle since February 2025, indicating prolonged market consolidation. Sellers have been pushing the price down gradually (lower highs), but buyers have strongly defended the horizontal support around $0.16–$0.18.

Now, the price is testing the upper boundary of this structure, signaling a potential explosive breakout.


🔍 Pattern Breakdown

Pattern Name: Descending Triangle

Key Traits:

Lower highs compressing price action

Strong horizontal support zone holding steady

Typically a continuation pattern, but in this case, it can act as a reversal signal if breakout occurs to the upside

Formation Duration: ±6 months

Breakout Confirmation: A daily candle close above ~$0.22 with strong bullish volume


🚀 Bullish Scenario (Upside Breakout)

If COOKIE/USDT successfully breaks above the triangle resistance, here are the potential bullish targets:

Target Price Reason

🎯 Target 1 $0.259 Local resistance zone
🎯 Target 2 $0.299 Key breakout confirmation
🎯 Target 3 $0.407 Measured move from triangle height
🎯 Target 4 $0.626 – $0.700 Historical resistance range
🏁 Final Target $0.842 (ATH Zone) If bullish sentiment fuels momentum

✅ Volume confirmation is crucial. A breakout without strong volume might signal a fakeout.


🛑 Bearish Scenario (Rejection or Breakdown)

On the flip side:

❌ If the price fails to break the triangle resistance (~$0.22) and gets rejected again, we could see a retest of:

Support zone around $0.18

A breakdown below this level could drive the price toward:

$0.140

$0.120

Possibly as low as $0.095 – $0.075 if sentiment worsens

❗ Be cautious of fake breakouts or bear traps near key levels.


📚 Summary & Insights

> The current descending triangle is a textbook setup of “compression under pressure.” If the structure breaks upward with conviction, COOKIE/USDT may enter a powerful bullish trend after months of consolidation.



This setup is ideal for swing traders, breakout traders, or early trend investors seeking solid entries before momentum accelerates.

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