CRCL | Long | Strong Institutional & Regulatory Tailwinds | (June 30, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Circle (CRCL) recently pulled back after a massive IPO surge but is showing a strong bounce from key technical levels. With new stablecoin regulations coming and big partnerships, this could be setting up for another move higher.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Around $180 (supported by value area low, VWAP, and Fibonacci levels)
Stop Loss: $148 (Golden Fibonacci zone and recent key support)
TP1: $225
TP2: $265
Final Target: $378
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ CRCL was listed at $31 on June 5 and exploded nearly 700% to highs around $248 before pulling back ~24% on profit-taking and macro rate pressures.
✅ Major fundamental drivers include the GENIUS Act for stablecoin clarity, and big institutional partnerships (Fiserv, PayPal, Mastercard, Shopify, Ripple).
✅ Technical dynamics also show heavy short interest (~45% of volume) and high borrowing costs, which could lead to a strong short squeeze.
❌ Main risks: High valuation concerns (Compass Point targets $205), heavy exposure to interest rate changes, and rising competition in the stablecoin space (USDT, Diem, etc.).
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I’ll continue monitoring price action near $225 and $265 for partial exits and updates if momentum accelerates or structure changes.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Circle (CRCL) recently pulled back after a massive IPO surge but is showing a strong bounce from key technical levels. With new stablecoin regulations coming and big partnerships, this could be setting up for another move higher.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Around $180 (supported by value area low, VWAP, and Fibonacci levels)
Stop Loss: $148 (Golden Fibonacci zone and recent key support)
TP1: $225
TP2: $265
Final Target: $378
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ CRCL was listed at $31 on June 5 and exploded nearly 700% to highs around $248 before pulling back ~24% on profit-taking and macro rate pressures.
✅ Major fundamental drivers include the GENIUS Act for stablecoin clarity, and big institutional partnerships (Fiserv, PayPal, Mastercard, Shopify, Ripple).
✅ Technical dynamics also show heavy short interest (~45% of volume) and high borrowing costs, which could lead to a strong short squeeze.
❌ Main risks: High valuation concerns (Compass Point targets $205), heavy exposure to interest rate changes, and rising competition in the stablecoin space (USDT, Diem, etc.).
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I’ll continue monitoring price action near $225 and $265 for partial exits and updates if momentum accelerates or structure changes.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Note
(01.07.2025)The money is still flowing in circles, so I’m still looking for clean signs and watching the circle carefully for any manipulation or other signals.
Right now, I see a potential red candle — one manipulation move already happened in the market. The money is still flowing in, so it looks like a liquidity grab to me. I’m still aiming for higher prices, and I’ll keep watching this liquidity grab around the circle and on the bounce, maybe even a W formation.
I’m looking for higher prices to reach our first take profit area (the body high). But if things turn against me and we go lower, it might hit my stop loss. I’ll be adjusting it, which is always more annoying and disappointing
Note
(03.07.2025)CRCL | IPO Historical Context
CRCL had a lot of hype since its IPO, but if we look at how similar IPOs performed in the first year, so caution is asked.
✅ The stock is still getting a lot of attention and news flow, which keeps pushing it up temporarily.
❌ Historically, IPOs tend to fade once the hype calms down, so I suspect this could turn into a distribution pattern.
✅ Be ready to hedge or reduce exposure if the reversal starts to play out strongly.
Note
(08.07.2025)The setup is still valid. I’m still holding, nothing has changed.
On the 4-hour chart, I see some slight downward movement. Let’s check the momentum: right now, the 1-hour is up, the 15-minute and 5-minute are down, the 4-hour is down, and the daily is also down.
We still want to push higher. I think we had a great entry. Looking at the 4-hour again, there’s a slight pullback on the 30-minute chart, but there’s still plenty of upside potential.
It could move back to 186, then push higher to flip the 1991 area from resistance to support. From there, it can move toward the value area high.
I’ve adjusted the partial take profit level to 218.
Stay safe out there.
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1️⃣ The 4 Steps to Improve Your Trading Immediately: tradinggen.services/mohamad-link/
2️⃣ Get trade setups & breakdowns Here: t.me/TradeSimple_with_Mo
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
2 Ways I can help you | Real Trades. Real Edge
1️⃣ The 4 Steps to Improve Your Trading Immediately: tradinggen.services/mohamad-link/
2️⃣ Get trade setups & breakdowns Here: t.me/TradeSimple_with_Mo
1️⃣ The 4 Steps to Improve Your Trading Immediately: tradinggen.services/mohamad-link/
2️⃣ Get trade setups & breakdowns Here: t.me/TradeSimple_with_Mo
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.