Salesforce
Short

CRM - Sales losing the Force..

371
-Since the start of the year tech stocks have taken two legs down, in late February and now, in early May. CRM stock has joined the party both times. It’s down 3% on the year, while the average S&P stock is up 11%.

-It’s due to investors rotating out of expensive stocks and into those benefitting from the end of the pandemic or President Joe Biden’s Administration’s infrastructure plans. Even with this latest fall, Salesforce stock sells at 49 times its earnings. That won’t change at its next report on May 27, with 42 cents of net income expected on $5.89 billion of revenue.

-When the pandemic was on, investors piled into the few names that were making money. Cloud application stocks like Salesforce were among those names. CRM stock peaked at $281.25 per share in late August into early September. Over the last year, you’re still up 32%.

-But there are a lot more places for investors to make money now. You can buy a steel stock like Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF). You can buy a cement stock like U.S. Concrete (NASDAQ:USCR). You can even grab a cruise line like Royal Caribbean (NYSE:RCL) and be rolling in profits.

-The light is still on at Salesforce. There’s a succession plan in place, with 42-year old Bret Taylor on tap to replace co-founder Marc Benioff as CEO. Top line growth is still averaging 20%, the company continues to make money.

-Salesforce profits would be higher, except it’s paying a massive $27.7 billion to buy Slack (NYSE:WORK) and compete more closely in office applications. This is not a bad idea. It’s just bad timing right now to go for growth when the market wants margins. That will change and, when it does, Salesforce stock will likely come back.

BOTTOM LINE:
-Tech valuations are compressing. It’s not a mirage. There’s no need to pay 49 times earnings for 20% growth when hundreds of companies are going from loss to profit and, at least in the near term, growing just as fast.
Credit: Dana Blankenhorn

Our Opinion:
We keep our target at around: $185-190

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