✅ TCB Strategy Application on DXY 4H
🔹 Trend → Countertrend → Breakout Structure:
• Trend: We’ve had a bullish recovery from the 97.00 zone (bottom demand), moving within an ascending channel.
• Countertrend Zone: Price has now pulled back from the 99.00–99.200 supply area.
• Breakout Watch:
o A break below the ascending channel (support line) + 98.00 zone would signal countertrend breakout → opens potential for 97.000 retest.
o A break above 99.200 would be a bullish breakout targeting the 100.500–101.000 macro supply zone.
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🔄 What This Means for Dollar Pairs (Especially XAUUSD):
🟥 Scenario 1: Bearish DXY Breakout (98.00 loss)
• Expect XAUUSD bullish continuation, possibly reclaiming upside zones (especially if DXY targets 97.00).
• GBPUSD, EURUSD, etc., likely to gain against USD.
🟩 Scenario 2: Bullish DXY Breakout (Above 99.200)
• XAUUSD may reject from resistance or fall back toward support zones.
• USD strength will put pressure on GBPUSD, EURUSD, and other majors.
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🧠 TCB Notes:
• Checklist Score (Pre-Breakout): ~75%
o ✔ Structure zones marked
o ✔ Channel support tested
o ✔ Reaction to supply zone
o ✖ Awaiting breakout candle + NY session confirmation
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🔔 Suggested Alerts (Set in TradingView):
• DXY Breakout Alert: 98.00 (bearish trigger)
• DXY Bullish Trigger Alert: 99.20 or trendline breakout
• Match these alerts with corresponding TCB setups on XAUUSD, GBPUSD, etc.
🔹 Trend → Countertrend → Breakout Structure:
• Trend: We’ve had a bullish recovery from the 97.00 zone (bottom demand), moving within an ascending channel.
• Countertrend Zone: Price has now pulled back from the 99.00–99.200 supply area.
• Breakout Watch:
o A break below the ascending channel (support line) + 98.00 zone would signal countertrend breakout → opens potential for 97.000 retest.
o A break above 99.200 would be a bullish breakout targeting the 100.500–101.000 macro supply zone.
________________________________________
🔄 What This Means for Dollar Pairs (Especially XAUUSD):
🟥 Scenario 1: Bearish DXY Breakout (98.00 loss)
• Expect XAUUSD bullish continuation, possibly reclaiming upside zones (especially if DXY targets 97.00).
• GBPUSD, EURUSD, etc., likely to gain against USD.
🟩 Scenario 2: Bullish DXY Breakout (Above 99.200)
• XAUUSD may reject from resistance or fall back toward support zones.
• USD strength will put pressure on GBPUSD, EURUSD, and other majors.
________________________________________
🧠 TCB Notes:
• Checklist Score (Pre-Breakout): ~75%
o ✔ Structure zones marked
o ✔ Channel support tested
o ✔ Reaction to supply zone
o ✖ Awaiting breakout candle + NY session confirmation
________________________________________
🔔 Suggested Alerts (Set in TradingView):
• DXY Breakout Alert: 98.00 (bearish trigger)
• DXY Bullish Trigger Alert: 99.20 or trendline breakout
• Match these alerts with corresponding TCB setups on XAUUSD, GBPUSD, etc.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.