🤖📊 Macro Moves & Market Reversals: Bitcoin, Metals, Tech, Dollar & DAX Breakdown 🔥💹
Hey beautiful people,
FXPROFESSOR here with a massive market update to kick off the week. This one’s for my serious traders—those of you ready to read the market like a pro 📚💡
We’re in a critical transition. The Trump–Powell standoff, rate cut games, tariff escalations, and a surprising shift in risk appetite across bonds, metals, and equities are reshaping the entire trading landscape.
Let’s get into the full breakdown 👇
🧠 MACRO FIRST – THE FUNDAMENTAL PULSE
🟢 Interest Rates:
The Fed is keeping rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, citing strong jobs data. 147K jobs added, unemployment at 4.1%. The market wanted bad news for rate cuts... didn’t get it.
🗓 September remains the most likely cut, but the Fed isn’t rushing. Strong labor = slow policy change.
⚠️ Tariffs Heating Up:
Trump just slapped 25–40% tariffs on imports from Japan, Korea, and others – effective August 1.
➡️ If no political resolution by July 9, prepare for a volatility wave.
Tariffs = supply chain risks + cost-push inflation.
💣 Geopolitics:
Middle East tensions remain background noise, but no major disruptions for now. Still, oil remains sensitive.
📈 Risk Appetite (Bonds):
U.S. Treasuries still lagging, but junk bonds and quality credit (LQD) have pumped. That’s a big clue: risk appetite is returning, even without a Fed pivot.
📉 DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) – "THE YEAR OF THE NORMALIZED DOLLAR"
We’ve followed this dollar short all year.
🔻 From rejection at 100.965, DXY dropped straight into our long-term 94–95 target zone.
📌 Now what? This level is MAJOR. A bounce could trap dollar bears.
🧭 No new short from me unless we re-tag 100+. The juice is squeezed.
Key takeaway:
The dollar already priced in rate cuts, and we didn’t even get them. That’s telling me the next macro move might not be so predictable.
💰 BITCOIN – STILL THE KING
📍 BTC at $115K resistance – a level I’ve charted for years, not weeks.
Three hits:
1️⃣ First rejection
2️⃣ Second rejection
3️⃣ And now... a decisive moment
🚨 Break 115K → BTC flies.
📉 Fail here → we could revisit $64K, yes, seriously. I’m ready for both outcomes.
This is not the time for hopium. It’s 50/50.
🪙 BTC DOMINANCE – THE ALTCOIN SWITCH
BTC.D is now above 65%. That means:
✔️ Capital flowing back into BTC
❌ Altcoins not ready yet
We don’t chase alts until BTC.D hits 71.3–72.9%. That’s the real “altseason trigger zone.”
🔒 I’m personally turned off from alts for now—too much noise, too many memes, not enough macro support.
🔩 PRECIOUS METALS – SHINING BRIGHT
💛 Gold (XAU/USD):
Reached near $3,500 highs
Now stalling
🛑 Taking profits here – caution warranted.
🤍 Silver (XAG/USD):
13-year high
Holding $36+ well
Potential breakout pending global inflation data
💿 Platinum (the sleeper):
+47% YTD
Beautiful long setup played out exactly as planned
Still bullish above $1,400 if supply squeeze continues
💡 ETFs in metals are seeing inflows – more institutions hedging as dollar weakens.
🚗🔌 TECH STOCKS – NVDA, TSLA & THE NASDAQ
📈 NVIDIA (NVDA)
Best trade of the year for me
Clean re-entry, now hitting ATH levels
AI demand + tight supply = rocket fuel
⚡ Tesla (TSLA)
Bounce off 4H trendline
Still lagging slightly – political tensions (Trump vs. Musk) not helping
But levels are working like a charm
📊 NASDAQ (QQQ)
Hit our “max pain” zone perfectly
Rebounded with textbook precision
Momentum intact – watching for new highs
🇩🇪 DAX INDEX – CHARTS DON’T LIE
All-time high. Boom. Called it weeks ago.
Despite:
No Russian energy
Industrial drag
ECB policy constraints
📌 But what worked?
➡️ Simple chart structure.
➡️ Market psychology.
➡️ Pure TA.
Now at resistance again. Watch carefully – support below is clearly defined.
🧾 FINAL THOUGHTS – THE PROFESSOR'S NOTES
🔹 The market’s narrative can change fast, especially with Trump in the mix. He’s Mr. Volatility.
🔹 Powell holds the real power – and right now, he’s not flinching.
🔹 Risk appetite is back – but not evenly. Bitcoin is leading, altcoins are lagging, metals are maturing.
🔹 If rate cuts materialize in September, expect massive rotation across all risk assets.
💭 Until then, I’m playing level-to-level. No FOMO. Just charts and logic. That’s how we survive, and thrive.
Let me know which chart you want next – and thank you for staying sharp 💪📚
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Hey beautiful people,
FXPROFESSOR here with a massive market update to kick off the week. This one’s for my serious traders—those of you ready to read the market like a pro 📚💡
We’re in a critical transition. The Trump–Powell standoff, rate cut games, tariff escalations, and a surprising shift in risk appetite across bonds, metals, and equities are reshaping the entire trading landscape.
Let’s get into the full breakdown 👇
🧠 MACRO FIRST – THE FUNDAMENTAL PULSE
🟢 Interest Rates:
The Fed is keeping rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, citing strong jobs data. 147K jobs added, unemployment at 4.1%. The market wanted bad news for rate cuts... didn’t get it.
🗓 September remains the most likely cut, but the Fed isn’t rushing. Strong labor = slow policy change.
⚠️ Tariffs Heating Up:
Trump just slapped 25–40% tariffs on imports from Japan, Korea, and others – effective August 1.
➡️ If no political resolution by July 9, prepare for a volatility wave.
Tariffs = supply chain risks + cost-push inflation.
💣 Geopolitics:
Middle East tensions remain background noise, but no major disruptions for now. Still, oil remains sensitive.
📈 Risk Appetite (Bonds):
U.S. Treasuries still lagging, but junk bonds and quality credit (LQD) have pumped. That’s a big clue: risk appetite is returning, even without a Fed pivot.
📉 DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) – "THE YEAR OF THE NORMALIZED DOLLAR"
We’ve followed this dollar short all year.
🔻 From rejection at 100.965, DXY dropped straight into our long-term 94–95 target zone.
📌 Now what? This level is MAJOR. A bounce could trap dollar bears.
🧭 No new short from me unless we re-tag 100+. The juice is squeezed.
Key takeaway:
The dollar already priced in rate cuts, and we didn’t even get them. That’s telling me the next macro move might not be so predictable.
💰 BITCOIN – STILL THE KING
📍 BTC at $115K resistance – a level I’ve charted for years, not weeks.
Three hits:
1️⃣ First rejection
2️⃣ Second rejection
3️⃣ And now... a decisive moment
🚨 Break 115K → BTC flies.
📉 Fail here → we could revisit $64K, yes, seriously. I’m ready for both outcomes.
This is not the time for hopium. It’s 50/50.
🪙 BTC DOMINANCE – THE ALTCOIN SWITCH
BTC.D is now above 65%. That means:
✔️ Capital flowing back into BTC
❌ Altcoins not ready yet
We don’t chase alts until BTC.D hits 71.3–72.9%. That’s the real “altseason trigger zone.”
🔒 I’m personally turned off from alts for now—too much noise, too many memes, not enough macro support.
🔩 PRECIOUS METALS – SHINING BRIGHT
💛 Gold (XAU/USD):
Reached near $3,500 highs
Now stalling
🛑 Taking profits here – caution warranted.
🤍 Silver (XAG/USD):
13-year high
Holding $36+ well
Potential breakout pending global inflation data
💿 Platinum (the sleeper):
+47% YTD
Beautiful long setup played out exactly as planned
Still bullish above $1,400 if supply squeeze continues
💡 ETFs in metals are seeing inflows – more institutions hedging as dollar weakens.
🚗🔌 TECH STOCKS – NVDA, TSLA & THE NASDAQ
📈 NVIDIA (NVDA)
Best trade of the year for me
Clean re-entry, now hitting ATH levels
AI demand + tight supply = rocket fuel
⚡ Tesla (TSLA)
Bounce off 4H trendline
Still lagging slightly – political tensions (Trump vs. Musk) not helping
But levels are working like a charm
📊 NASDAQ (QQQ)
Hit our “max pain” zone perfectly
Rebounded with textbook precision
Momentum intact – watching for new highs
🇩🇪 DAX INDEX – CHARTS DON’T LIE
All-time high. Boom. Called it weeks ago.
Despite:
No Russian energy
Industrial drag
ECB policy constraints
📌 But what worked?
➡️ Simple chart structure.
➡️ Market psychology.
➡️ Pure TA.
Now at resistance again. Watch carefully – support below is clearly defined.
🧾 FINAL THOUGHTS – THE PROFESSOR'S NOTES
🔹 The market’s narrative can change fast, especially with Trump in the mix. He’s Mr. Volatility.
🔹 Powell holds the real power – and right now, he’s not flinching.
🔹 Risk appetite is back – but not evenly. Bitcoin is leading, altcoins are lagging, metals are maturing.
🔹 If rate cuts materialize in September, expect massive rotation across all risk assets.
💭 Until then, I’m playing level-to-level. No FOMO. Just charts and logic. That’s how we survive, and thrive.
Let me know which chart you want next – and thank you for staying sharp 💪📚
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
🌍 All in one place → fxprofessor.com
🧠 Free FXPROFESSOR AI on ChatGPT
🔧 Top tools to level UP your trading
💹 Best crypto, forex & stock deals
📣 Telegram: t.me/fxprofessor88
💥 I don’t follow trends. I build the tools to catch them!
🧠 Free FXPROFESSOR AI on ChatGPT
🔧 Top tools to level UP your trading
💹 Best crypto, forex & stock deals
📣 Telegram: t.me/fxprofessor88
💥 I don’t follow trends. I build the tools to catch them!
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
🌍 All in one place → fxprofessor.com
🧠 Free FXPROFESSOR AI on ChatGPT
🔧 Top tools to level UP your trading
💹 Best crypto, forex & stock deals
📣 Telegram: t.me/fxprofessor88
💥 I don’t follow trends. I build the tools to catch them!
🧠 Free FXPROFESSOR AI on ChatGPT
🔧 Top tools to level UP your trading
💹 Best crypto, forex & stock deals
📣 Telegram: t.me/fxprofessor88
💥 I don’t follow trends. I build the tools to catch them!
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.