ES (S&P 500 Futures) - Week Plan Aug 18–22

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Context (W/D/4H/1H/30M): ES is consolidating just under 6,500. Price is boxed roughly 6,466 ↔ 6,504/12 with a cluster of highs above and recurring demand tests below.

Key Levels (zones, not single ticks):

Resistance: 6,504–6,512 (near-term lid). Above that: 6,520–6,550 (weekly supply/“weak high”).

Decision level: 6,492–6,495 (where control often flips intraday).

Supports: 6,464–6,466 (first support) → 6,436–6,440 → 6,380–6,395 (deeper support).

How to read it:

Bull path: A firm break and hold above 6,504 favors a push toward 6,520 → 6,535 → 6,550.

Bear path: Failure at 6,495 or a clean break below 6,464 opens 6,440 → 6,390.

If price stays between 6,466 and 6,504, expect range behavior until a catalyst pushes it out.

Scenarios (next week):

Range continues: Chop between 6,466–6,512 until mid-week events.

Upside break: Hold above 6,504 → test 6,520–6,550 (watch for reaction there).

Downside break: Lose 6,464 with momentum → 6,440, then 6,390 if pressure persists.

Key events (ET):

Wed: Federal Reserve meeting minutes (afternoon).

Thu: Weekly claims; flash PMIs; existing home sales (morning block).

Thu–Sat: Jackson Hole economic symposium (watch for policy remarks).

Notes: Levels are zones and may see initial reactions before acceptance or rejection. This post is for market commentary/education only.

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