HTF remains bullish into a labeled weak‑high cluster. Tomorrow’s path likely pivots around 6523–6527 (ONH/PDH cluster). Two A++ plays only after event‑led volatility prints structure:
Two possibilities:
Continuation LONG on acceptance > 6537 → 6564/6583.
Fade SHORT on sweep into 6542–6548 + 5m and 15m bearish confirmation → 6526/6510/6502.
SMT check with NQ is required.
Continuation LONG (A++) — “Acceptance > 6537”
Sweep → 5m MSS up → 5m close above 6537 → retest 6531–6533 (derived 5m OB/FVG at prior close shelf) for entry.
Entry: 6532 ±1.
SL: 6524 (structure; back inside PDH/ONH cluster).
• TP1: 6564.25 (1H 1.272) → ~+32.3 pts ≈ 4.0R.
• TP2: 6583.50 (1H 1.618) → ~+51.5 pts ≈ 6.4R.
• TP3: 6668+ (4H fib region) — runner; trail by 15m/30m closes.
Management: Scale ½ at TP1; move to BE only after a 5m close through TP1 or new structure; time‑stop 45–60 min if no progress in a kill zone.
Fade SHORT (A++) — “Sweep 6542–6548”
This is counter‑HTF; require 5m MSS down + 15m bearish close before entry (your rule).
Entry: 6545 ±2 after confirmations.
SL: 6552 (above sweep high/5m OB).
• TP1: 6526.25 (PDH/ONH) → ~19 pts ≈ 2.7R.
• TP2: 6510 (derived 15m demand near VWAP band) → ~35 pts ≈ 5.0R.
• TP3: 6502 (ONL=VAL) → ~43 pts ≈ 6.1R.
• TP4: 6489.25 (PDL) → ~56 pts ≈ 8.0R.
Management: Scale ½ at TP1; move to BE only after a 5m close < 6526 and fresh LTF structure; trail above last 5m swing/VWAP.
Fundamentals (tomorrow — Eastern Time)
• 08:30 — PPI (Aug). BLS schedule confirms Sep 10 @ 08:30.
• 10:30 — EIA Weekly Petroleum Status (energy vol shock risk). Standard release Wednesdays 10:30; PDF posts after 1:00 pm.
• 13:00 — UST 10‑yr (reopening). Treasury’s tentative auction schedule shows Wed Sep 10; competitive close customarily 1:00 pm ET.
• Heads‑up (Thu): 08:30 — CPI (Aug) next day.
• FOMC next week: Sep 16–17.
Two possibilities:
Continuation LONG on acceptance > 6537 → 6564/6583.
Fade SHORT on sweep into 6542–6548 + 5m and 15m bearish confirmation → 6526/6510/6502.
SMT check with NQ is required.
Continuation LONG (A++) — “Acceptance > 6537”
Sweep → 5m MSS up → 5m close above 6537 → retest 6531–6533 (derived 5m OB/FVG at prior close shelf) for entry.
Entry: 6532 ±1.
SL: 6524 (structure; back inside PDH/ONH cluster).
• TP1: 6564.25 (1H 1.272) → ~+32.3 pts ≈ 4.0R.
• TP2: 6583.50 (1H 1.618) → ~+51.5 pts ≈ 6.4R.
• TP3: 6668+ (4H fib region) — runner; trail by 15m/30m closes.
Management: Scale ½ at TP1; move to BE only after a 5m close through TP1 or new structure; time‑stop 45–60 min if no progress in a kill zone.
Fade SHORT (A++) — “Sweep 6542–6548”
This is counter‑HTF; require 5m MSS down + 15m bearish close before entry (your rule).
Entry: 6545 ±2 after confirmations.
SL: 6552 (above sweep high/5m OB).
• TP1: 6526.25 (PDH/ONH) → ~19 pts ≈ 2.7R.
• TP2: 6510 (derived 15m demand near VWAP band) → ~35 pts ≈ 5.0R.
• TP3: 6502 (ONL=VAL) → ~43 pts ≈ 6.1R.
• TP4: 6489.25 (PDL) → ~56 pts ≈ 8.0R.
Management: Scale ½ at TP1; move to BE only after a 5m close < 6526 and fresh LTF structure; trail above last 5m swing/VWAP.
Fundamentals (tomorrow — Eastern Time)
• 08:30 — PPI (Aug). BLS schedule confirms Sep 10 @ 08:30.
• 10:30 — EIA Weekly Petroleum Status (energy vol shock risk). Standard release Wednesdays 10:30; PDF posts after 1:00 pm.
• 13:00 — UST 10‑yr (reopening). Treasury’s tentative auction schedule shows Wed Sep 10; competitive close customarily 1:00 pm ET.
• Heads‑up (Thu): 08:30 — CPI (Aug) next day.
• FOMC next week: Sep 16–17.
If you want to contact me here is my Discord channel discord.gg/wPHfYgv892
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
If you want to contact me here is my Discord channel discord.gg/wPHfYgv892
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.