Ethereum Dominance (ETH.D) has completed a textbook 5-wave impulsive rally on the weekly timeframe, signaling the end of its upward cycle and entry into a deep corrective phase. As of August , ETH.D at 13.37% is rejecting the key order block at ~14%, hinting at weakening momentum. This shift favors Bitcoin's outperformance, as capital rotates from ETH to BTC, potentially boosting BTC/ETH ratio and Bitcoin returns during the downturn.
NeoWave Wave Count (Daily Chart):
The rally from ~10.5% lows unfolded in 5 waves: Wave 1 to ~11.41%, Wave 2 correction to ~10.11%, Wave 3 extended to ~13.97% (161.8% of Wave 1), Wave 4 shallow to ~13.32%, and Wave 5 topping at 13.97% with the 1.618 Fib extension (1.141%).
Monowave count (~55-70 subwaves) validates the impulse, with alternation (Wave 2 deep/time-extended, Wave 4 shallow/short). The ascending channel (yellow) has been touched multiple times, and the recent rejection confirms exhaustion.
Weekly Chart Insight:
On the weekly TF, ETH.D has hit a major order block at ~14% (1.425%), not the channel top, coinciding with the 1.618 Fib extension from 2023 lows and historical resistance from 2018 highs (~52%). This multi-year descending channel holds firm, with price failing to break the OB—suggesting reversal to midline ~12.5% or lower (38.2%-50% Fib retrace of rally).
Why Bitcoin Outperforms From Here:
As ETH.D corrects (likely a Zigzag or Flat, targeting 11%-12%), Bitcoin gains dominance, driving better returns for BTC holders. Expect BTC/ETH ratio to climb (current ~12.5, target 14-15), with Bitcoin yielding 10-20% superior performance in risk-off environments. If ETH.D drops below 12.5%, correction accelerates to 10% (78.6% Fib), amplifying BTC's edge.
Trade Idea (Bearish ETH.D / Bullish BTC):
Entry: Short ETH.D (or long BTC/ETH pair) below 13.32% on BOS confirmation in weekly.
Targets: TP1 at 12.5% (channel midline), TP2 at 11% (50% Fib).
Stop Loss: Above 14.25% (OB high, R:R ~1:3).
Sizing: 1-2% capital; trail stops on midline breaks. Watch dominance flips—crypto rotations can spark quick BTC pumps.
ETH bulls, pivot to BTC now! #ETHDominance #NeoWave #BitcoinOutperformance #CryptoAnalysis
NeoWave Wave Count (Daily Chart):
The rally from ~10.5% lows unfolded in 5 waves: Wave 1 to ~11.41%, Wave 2 correction to ~10.11%, Wave 3 extended to ~13.97% (161.8% of Wave 1), Wave 4 shallow to ~13.32%, and Wave 5 topping at 13.97% with the 1.618 Fib extension (1.141%).
Monowave count (~55-70 subwaves) validates the impulse, with alternation (Wave 2 deep/time-extended, Wave 4 shallow/short). The ascending channel (yellow) has been touched multiple times, and the recent rejection confirms exhaustion.
Weekly Chart Insight:
On the weekly TF, ETH.D has hit a major order block at ~14% (1.425%), not the channel top, coinciding with the 1.618 Fib extension from 2023 lows and historical resistance from 2018 highs (~52%). This multi-year descending channel holds firm, with price failing to break the OB—suggesting reversal to midline ~12.5% or lower (38.2%-50% Fib retrace of rally).
Why Bitcoin Outperforms From Here:
As ETH.D corrects (likely a Zigzag or Flat, targeting 11%-12%), Bitcoin gains dominance, driving better returns for BTC holders. Expect BTC/ETH ratio to climb (current ~12.5, target 14-15), with Bitcoin yielding 10-20% superior performance in risk-off environments. If ETH.D drops below 12.5%, correction accelerates to 10% (78.6% Fib), amplifying BTC's edge.
Trade Idea (Bearish ETH.D / Bullish BTC):
Entry: Short ETH.D (or long BTC/ETH pair) below 13.32% on BOS confirmation in weekly.
Targets: TP1 at 12.5% (channel midline), TP2 at 11% (50% Fib).
Stop Loss: Above 14.25% (OB high, R:R ~1:3).
Sizing: 1-2% capital; trail stops on midline breaks. Watch dominance flips—crypto rotations can spark quick BTC pumps.
ETH bulls, pivot to BTC now! #ETHDominance #NeoWave #BitcoinOutperformance #CryptoAnalysis
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📩 Contact: @CryptoPilot_1 (Telegram)
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📊 CryptoPilot – Advanced Technical Analysis for BTC & Altcoins
🔎 Smart Money • Price Action • NeoWave • Multi-Timeframe Context
📩 Contact: @CryptoPilot_1 (Telegram)
📥 Telegram Chanell : @CryptoPilot_Trading
🔎 Smart Money • Price Action • NeoWave • Multi-Timeframe Context
📩 Contact: @CryptoPilot_1 (Telegram)
📥 Telegram Chanell : @CryptoPilot_Trading
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.